Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 9-10-23 MLB Picks

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10 September 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from SunTrust Park. This matchup marks the final installment in a three-game series. After a six-run Braves opener win, in the Saturday game two Pittsburgh was able to even the set with a four-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Pittsburgh Pirates

In the opener of this set Friday, Pittsburgh coughed up eight runs in the first five innings in an 8-2 loss. Jack Suwinski had the only RBI on a two-run home run. In Saturday’s matchup the Pirates bagged three runs in both the third and fifth innings on the way to an 8-4 win. Bryan Reynolds put up three hits with two runs, two RBI and a homer in the victory.

As starting pitcher for Sunday’s finale, the Pirates are going with Luis Ortiz. In 14 games (12 starts) this year Ortiz is 4-4 with a 4.90 ERA and 48 Ks in 68.0 innings. Ortiz is 3-1 with a 5.14 ERA over his last seven games (six starts).

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 12 games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Truist Park.
The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight day games.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last six road games against National League opponents.
The Pirates have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five day games at Truist Park against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves

Over on the Braves’ side, they posted 12 team hits in the Friday victory. Two came from Eddie Rosario, who also had two runs, a homer and three RBI. In game two Atlanta had 12 team hits, but gave up 14 on the other side. Matt Olson had two hits, two RBI and a home run. Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies each had two hits with an RBI.

In the starting pitcher slot for Sunday the Braves are going with Allan Winans. Over three starts this year (the first three of his career), Winans is 1-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 18 Ks in 15.2 innings.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

The Braves have won 16 of their last 17 home games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against the Pirates.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three games between the Pirates and Braves at Truist Park.
The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Pirates.
The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last five day games against the Pirates at Truist Park.

Matchup/League Facts

The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for runs scored this season (821).
The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for hits this season (1337).
The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks T3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (152).
The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 27th in the league for home runs this season (140).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK

I’ll probably try the Pirates here. Ortiz had a bad start versus St. Louis late last month (3.1 innings; five earned), but in his two outings since he’s done well. Ortiz has three combined earned runs in 11.0 innings over his last pair, winning both. As for Winans, he hasn’t pitched since August 21 in a loss to the Mets. Winans gave up seven earned in 4.1 frames in that one, but he’d done well in his previous outing. Pittsburgh had a pretty good offensive outing on Saturday, and if they can keep the bats going I think the Pirates have a solid shot in the finale.