Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 8-21-23 MLB Picks

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21 August 2023

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves meet Monday in MLB action from SunTrust Park. New York is coming off a four-game weekend series versus the Cardinals. After wins in the first three games, on Sunday in the finale the Mets took a four-run loss. As for Atlanta, they took on the Giants over the weekend, winning the first two matchups. In game three the Braves fell by a single run. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

New York Mets

The Mets blew right past the Cardinals in their first three games, posting wins 4-2, 7-1 and 13-2. In Saturday’s big victory New York’s Daniel Vogelbach posted four RBI with his homer. On Sunday in the finale the Mets were out-hit 15-7 in a 7-3 loss. Pete Alonso managed a solo homer. Francisco Alvarez and Jonathan Arauz each had an RBI of their own as well.

As starter for the Monday game, the Mets are sending out David Peterson. Over 20 games (14 starts) this year Peterson is 3-7 with a 5.45 ERA and 79 Ks in 72.2 frames. Peterson is 1-0 in his last seven games (three starts) with a 2.25 ERA.

New York Mets Team Facts

The Mets have lost each of their last seven games at Truist Park.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs following a road loss.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last five road games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Truist Park.
The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets' last five games against NL opponents.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded two hits in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets' last four road games against NL East opponents.
Jeff McNeil has scored a run in seven of the Mets' last eight games at Truist Park.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last four road games against NL East opponents.
Pete Alonso ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (39) this season.

Atlanta Braves

Over on the Braves’ side, they were able to beat the Giants 4-0 on Friday and then eked out a 6-5 victory in game two. Atlanta’s Eddie Rosario had four hits, two runs, three RBI and a homer in that one. On Sunday the Braves missed out on the sweep with a 4-3 defeat. Orlando Arcia had a two-run homer, though.

Allan Winans will take the mound for the Braves on Monday. This year in two starts Winans is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 14 Ks in 11.1 innings.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

The Braves have won each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games against the Mets.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last three night games against National League opponents.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Braves have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of the Braves' last five games against the Mets.
Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Braves' last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Orlando Arcia has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last four home games against the Mets.
Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 11 night games.
Matt Olson ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (43) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for runs scored this season (715).
The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for home runs this season (235).
The New York Mets ranks 29th in the league for doubles this season (168).
The New York Mets ranks 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (466).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK

I might stay with the Mets. Peterson hasn’t gone over 3.2 innings in any of his last three outings, but he’s pitching pretty well overall. In that span Peterson has 10.1 total innings, three earned runs, eight hits and 11 walks. The walk rate needs to come down some, but if all goes well Peterson will put up a handful of good innings here. On Sunday the Mets had a couple of rough outings from starter Carlos Carrasco and Trevor Gott out of the pen. Offensively it wasn’t terrible but no one had more than one hit. That said, I like New York to bounce back and put up a good effort in this opener.