Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 9-6-23 MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Wednesday in MLB action from PNC Park. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. The Pirates posted a two-run win in the opener, then in game two the Brewers evened it up with a four-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place. 

Milwaukee Brewers 

The Brewers had a brief 2-0 lead in the Monday opener of this set but couldn’t score after the second in a 4-2 loss. Both Victor Caratini and Brice Turang posted one RBI each. On Tuesday Milwaukee scored a whopping six runs in the fifth inning and powered out a 7-3 victory. Five different Brewers players had one RBI along the way. 

In the starter role for the finale matchup, the Brewers will go with Freddy Peralta. Over his 26 starts so far Peralta is 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA and 187 Ks in 145.0 innings. In his last seven starts Peralta is 5-0 with a 1.71 ERA. 

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

• The Brewers have lost each of their last six Wednesday games as road favorites.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates 

Over on the Pirates’ side, they managed nine team hits in the Monday opener of this series. Jack Suwinski provided two hits, two RBI and a homer in the win. On Tuesday Pittsburgh had a rough night at the plate. Connor Joe had a three-run homer in the ninth but the team couldn’t do much on eight hits. 

The Pirates will send out Colin Selby for the start Wednesday. Selby is 2-0 with a 5.79 ERA and 17 Ks in 2023. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

• The Pirates have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 home games following a loss.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last seven games as underdogs.
• The Pirates have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five day games.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 12 home day games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 27th in the league for hits this season (1087).
• The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 27th in the league for home runs this season (136).
• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.231).
• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1061).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’ll stick with the Brewers here. Peralta is on a very nice run right now. In his last three starts combined, Peralta is 2-0 with four earned runs in 17.0 total innings of work on eight hits and five walks. He should be able to post a quality start if all goes well. On Tuesday Milwaukee got a really nice start out of Brandon Woodruff (7.0 clean frames; two hits; two walks; six Ks) and a big inning in their victory. The Brewers have hit the seven-run mark in three of the last five games so the offense is certainly capable of putting up another good number in the finale.