Avalanche vs Stars Prediction

pickdawgz.com

18 November 2023

The Colorado Avalanche will play the Dallas Stars on Saturday night at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Colorado has won two games in a row, while Dallas comes into this game on a four game winning streak.

Avalanche Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 10-5-0 this year after they defeated the Anaheim Ducks by a score of 8-2 in their last game. Colorado led 3-1 after the second period and poured it on in the third. The Avalanche out shot Anaheim by a total of 38-17 and went 1-4 on the power play in the win. Colorado has out scored their opponents by a total of 13-3 over the last two games. The Colorado offense is scoring 3.67 goals per game and they are allowing 3.07 goals against per game, while going 18.6% on the power play and 86.7% on the penalty kill. Mikko Rantanen has led the Avalanche this season with 10 goals, 11 assists, and 52 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Alexandar Georgiev, who is 9-4-0 this year with a 3.01 goals against average and a .890 save percentage.

Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 11-3-1 this season after they defeated the Coyotes in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Dallas trailed 3-2 in the third period, but they tied the game late and won in overtime. The Stars out shot Arizona by a total of 36-26 and went 1-4 on the power play in the win. Dallas has also defeated Minnesota, Winnipeg, and Columbus during this four game winning streak. The Dallas offense is scoring 3.40 goals per game and they are allowing 2.53 goals against per game, while going 20.4% on the power play and 90.2% on the penalty kill. Jason Robertson has led the Stars this year with five goals, nine assists, and 44 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 8-2-1 this season with a 2.26 goals against average and a .926 save percentage.

Dallas Stars Team Facts

The Stars have won each of their last six night games against Central Division opponents.
The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last four games at American Airlines Center following a win.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Stars' last four night games.

Colorado Avalanche Team Facts

The Avalanche have won eight of their last 12 games as underdogs.
The Avalanche have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
The Avalanche have lost the second period in five of their last six night games at American Airlines Center following a win.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in each of the Avalanche's last seven games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

Matt Duchene has scored a goal in each of the Stars' last four games as favorites.
Jason Robertson has recorded at least one point in 18 of the Stars' last 20 games against Central Division opponents at American Airlines Center.
Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in four of the Stars' last five games against Central Division opponents at American Airlines Center.
Wyatt Johnston has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Stars this season (2).

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

Valeri Nichushkin has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances against Western Conference opponents.
Jonathan Drouin has recorded at least one point in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against Central Division opponents.
Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche's last five games.
Mikko Rantanen has the most multi-goal games for the Avalanche this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

The Dallas Stars ranks T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (5).
The Dallas Stars ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (4).
The Colorado Avalanche ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (4).
The Colorado Avalanche ranks 1st in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.60).

Pick

Dallas comes into this game on a four game winning streak and they have played great defense in that span, only allowing a total of 10 goals. The Avalanche have won two games in a row and they have scored 13 goals in those two wins, so it will be interesting to see if Dallas can slow them down. The Stars are 4-2-0 at home this year, while Colorado is 5-3-0 on the road. Both teams are scoring plenty of goals right now and I think we will see more than a few goals here. Take the over in this matchup.