Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions
The Baltimore Orioles (21-10) and Atlanta Braves (22-10) kick-off a 3-game series in A-Town Friday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2023
Baltimore completed its 7th consecutive series victory Thursday with a 13-10 win at the Kansas City Royals as a -172 favorite. The Orioles are 5-2 on their current 10-game road trip, which started in Detroit and wraps up with these 3 games against the NL East-leading Braves.
The Braves return home after a 5-1 trip, capped by a 3-game sweep of the Miami Marlins. Atlanta won 6-3 Thursday as a small -100 underdog at Miami.
This will be the first meeting between the Orioles and Braves since Atlanta swept a 3-game set at Baltimore in August 2021.
Orioles at Braves projected starters
RHP Dean Kremer vs. LHP Max Fried
Kremer (2-1, 6.67 ERA) is making his 7th start of the season. He owns a 1.58 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 29 2/3 innings.
- Last 3 starts: 2-1, 4.67 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 22 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 17 K
- Has never faced Atlanta and only 2 current Braves (C Sean Murphy 0 for 3, OF Eddie Rosario 1 for 1) have faced him in their careers
Fried (2-0, 0.45 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 20 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 shutout innings, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-0 victory at New York Mets Friday — ruled complete game when called after 5th inning due to rain
- Only allowed 1 ER over his 4 starts
- Faced Orioles once in career, tossing a complete-game, 9-inning shutout with 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K of a 3-0 road victory in 2021
Orioles at Braves odds
FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:39 a.m. ET.
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Orioles at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 8, Orioles 3
Atlanta (-210) takes the series opener with Fried on the bump at home, but I don’t want to put down more than 2 times my potential return. I may toss the Braves into a multi-team money line parlay, but that’s about it.
PASS, and look to the run line instead.
ATLANTA -1.5 (+100) is the better play in this 1st game of the series.
Atlanta has won 7 of its last 10 games by 2 runs or more. Plus, the Braves have their best pitcher on the mound, while Kremer has been punished over his last 3 starts.
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The OVER 8.5 (-115) is my lean, but I would not bet this heavy.
I think the Braves get to Kremer early, but the question is will the Orioles, who feature a talented lineup, get to Fried?
Baltimore has gone Over this total in 5 of its last 7 games and 7 of its last 10. The Orioles are 11-6-1 Over on the road this season; Atlanta is 11-3 Over at home in 2023.
Plus, 5 of Kremer’s 6 starts have ended with a total of 9 or more runs.
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