Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville prediction, odds: 2023 college basketball picks, Feb. 22 best bets by proven model
Historic Swisher Gymnasium showcases an early evening matchup between ASUN foes on Wednesday. The Bellarmine Knights visit the Jacksonville Dolphins in the first matchup between the teams this season. Bellarmine is 5-10 on the road with a 13-16 overall mark and an 8-8 record against ASUN opponents. Jacksonville is 13-14 overall and 6-10 in conference play, though the Dolphins are 1-5 in the last six games.
Tip-off is at 5 p.m. ET in Jacksonville. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Dolphins as 4.5-point home favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 123 in the latest Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville odds. Before you make any Jacksonville vs. Bellarmine picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 16 of the season 71-42 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Jacksonville vs. Bellarmine:
- Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville spread: Jacksonville -4.5
- Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville over/under: 123 points
- Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville money line: Jacksonville -210, Bellarmine +175
- BEL: The Knights are 7-8 against the spread in ASUN games
- JAC: The Dolphins are 7-9 against the spread in ASUN games
- Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game| Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights
Why Bellarmine can cover
Bellarmine's defense could be in for a positive situation against Jacksonville. The Knights are securing well over 72% of available defensive rebounds, and Bellarmine is in the top five of the ASUN with a 17.4% turnover creation rate. Jacksonville is outside the top 350 in free throw creation rate on offense, and the Dolphins are very poor in offensive rebound rate (23.3%) and turnover rate (19.3%).
On the other side, Bellarmine is very efficient in key offensive categories, including top-30 national marks in free throw accuracy (76.9%) and assist rate (58.0%). The Knights are also shooting 53.2% from 2-point range with an 8.6% live-ball turnover rate. Jacksonville struggles to create havoc on defense with a 13.9% turnover rate and a 7.0% steal rate, and the Dolphins are dead-last in the ASUN in assist rate allowed to opponents.
Why Jacksonville can cover
Jacksonville has an advantageous matchup on the offensive end against Bellarmine. The Dolphins are shooting 78.3% from the free throw line, a top-10 mark in the country, and Jacksonville is shooting 51.1% from 2-point range. Senior guard Kevion Nolan leads the team with 13.3 points and 4.3 assists per game, and Bellarmine's defense has shortcomings. Bellarmine is dead-last in the ASUN in 2-point defense, with opponents shooting 56.8%, and the Knights are outside the top 300 nationally in opponent shooting. Bellarmine is also last in the ASUN with a 4.7% block rate, and the Knights have a below-average steal rate of 8.0%.
On defense, Jacksonville can also lean on tremendous defensive rebounding, and the Dolphins are holding opponents to 32.0% shooting from 3-point range. With Bellarmine entering as one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the country and a team that ranks outside the top 300 in free throw creation, Jacksonville is set up to boost defensive efficiency.
How to make Jacksonville vs. Bellarmine picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 132 points. The model also says one side hits over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
