Bellator 291: Pedro Carvalho vs. Jeremy Kennedy Betting Analysis and Prediction

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Bellator 291: Pedro Carvalho vs. Jeremy Kennedy Betting Analysis and Prediction

Bellator MMA is back this weekend when the company travels overseas to Dublin, Ireland, for a night filled with great fights. One of the most interesting matchups is the one between featherweights Pedro Carvalho and Jeremy Kennedy. Both men have fought some of the best in the world and find themselves back only one or two fights away from a Bellator title shot. 

Read further for a Bellator 291 betting analysis and prediction, along with all the information you need before betting at your local or online sportsbook this weekend.

Pedro Carvalho vs. Jeremy Kennedy Information

Pedro Carvalho vs Jeremy Kennedy

Location: 3Arena, Dublin, Ireland.

Date and Time: February 25, 2023, 4:00 PM ET.

Pedro Carvalho vs. Jeremy Kennedy Recent Fights

Carvalho is coming off a decision victory over Mads Burnell in September of last year.  

Kennedy scored an anticlimactic TKO victory over the highly-skilled Aaron Pico in October when Pico couldn’t continue after the first round due to a shoulder injury.

Pedro Carvalho vs. Jeremy Kennedy Betting Analysis

Pedro Carvalho Facts to Know

Carvalho is a very skilled Portuguese fighter that has been living in Dublin and training at the famous SBG Ireland gym under head coach John Kavanaugh. This change in scenery has set him up for great success and another run at a Bellator title. 

He has eight finishes in his professional MMA career, including six submissions. He is a high-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu fighter with some sneaky striking abilities that continue to get better every time he steps into the cage.

Jeremy Kennedy Facts to Know

Kennedy has fought at pretty much every major organization in the North American market and has competed at a higher level than even most of the Bellator roster. Since he had a brief stint with the UFC, we have some analytics to help us beat the MMA betting odds.

Surprisingly, since he is no longer with the organization, Kennedy was a solid 3-1 in the UFC. His only loss had been to current world pound-for-pound No.1 ranked fighter Alex Volkanovski. In his 4 UFC fights, he landed 2.22 significant strikes per minute at a 46% clip.

Clearly, the Canadian’s game plan is to use his wrestling. In just the UFC, Kennedy averaged 5.73 takedowns per 15 minutes and scored eight takedowns in two separate fights. There aren’t any secrets to what is Kennedy’s greatest strength.

Updates

No injury updates were provided to the Dublin Athletic Commission. 

Pedro Carvalho vs. Jeremy Kennedy Betting Preview

Bellator 291 betting odds are better than usual for this Dublin event. Besides a few of the opening bouts, every single fight has fairly close odds for a Bellator event. 

MMA fights this weekend might be talked down upon in the media, but this Carvalho vs. Kennedy co-main event might give us the next challenger for Pitbull’s featherweight belt. Carvalho is the +145 betting underdog in this one.

Carvalho is no stranger to underdog odds, especially after he beat Burnell when he closed as the +500 underdog. In the previous win before that, he also won as a +260 underdog against Daniel Weichel.

Kennedy is coming off winning as a massive +650 underdog against Aaron Pico, finding himself in the best seat in the division: with a winnable matchup and a chance at a title shot.

With both men being able to win as big underdogs and fight through adversity, it makes for a great matchup that MMA fans will enjoy. 

Pedro Carvalho vs. Jeremy Kennedy Betting Prediction

Making MMA picks is no easy task, but when you are able to break down an interesting fight like this top 10 featherweight bout, it makes the process run a lot smoother. Bellator 291 betting predictions are going to be pretty easy to make, but this one might go against the public. 

We are going to go with the underdog Pedro Carvalho to get his hand raised at the end of this one. The +145 betting underdog has shown his durability and toughness when he has found himself in bad positions, an intangible that he will need to have going up against this elite wrestler. 

If Carvalho can survive the first round and show that he can get back to his feet after Kennedy takes him down, he will earn enough respect from Kennedy that it will open up his timing to start landing damaging blows in the striking game. 

Look for body kicks to be a major factor in this one, with Carvalho being able to land a couple flush to the body of Kennedy, hurting him badly enough that Carvalho might be able to find a finish.

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