Cody Law vs Cris Lencioni Betting Analysis and Prediction

At Bellator 289 this Friday, December 9th, there is a stacked event of big fights and great rising prospects clashing in the cage.

One of the most interesting fights on the preliminary card will be when Cody Law (6-1) faces Cris Lencioni (9-3). 

The Law vs Lencioni betting analysis will go a long way in correctly predicting the outcome of this fight and help you place winning bets on this week’s Bellator MMA event. 

Last Fight Record

Cody Law is coming off his first MMA loss against a tough James Gonzalez in June.Cris Lencioni is making his first Bellator appearance since August 2020.

In August of this year, he beat Talon Hofman via submission in the Rogue Promotions – Arena Wars Fighting Series event.

Law vs. Lencioni Betting Analysis

Cody Law

Without Bellator keeping public statistics on their fighters, we have to look further to properly break down Law vs Lencioni betting analytics. At only 27 years old, Law is still fresh in his MMA career.

This is a big moment for him coming off of his first loss, but training at American Top Team is the best place you can be in this situation.

Law was a Pennsylvania state champion wrestler; after that, he went on to wrestle at Penn State for two years, then transferred to a D-II school, where he later became national champion.

The kid has a lot of wrestling skills, but he has fallen in love with his striking. Law has four KO victories in his career, with only one submission win. 

Law’s 6 Bellator Victories

Four out of Law’s 6 Bellator victories haven’t made it past the 1st round. He submitted Orlando Ortega in the 1st round of his debut fight, then at one point had a 3-fight 1st round KO streak starting in 2021.

Law has explosive striking that he uses with the intention to knock his opponent out with just about every strike he throws.

Cris Lencioni

Lencioni also had a background in wrestling, but he decided to stop that journey and put full focus on Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

He trains at the Gracie Barra Portland gym in his hometown, where he gets some quality grappling rounds with some tough partners. 

The Portland native likes to let his opponents gain favorable positions on the ground to trick them into falling into one of his triangles or armbars.

Extra Stuff

Lencioni will do all the extra stuff inside and outside of the cage to get a competitive edge over his opponents. You will see him do some talking in the cage on Friday and antics in the media on fight week.

Lencioni is currently on a 3-fight winning streak inside the Bellator promotion, but this is his first fight at a Bellator event since 2020. He has four total Bellator victories, including two first-round submissions.

He has zero knockouts in his professional fighting career, but five of his nine wins are via submission. It is clear to see that Lencioni is most comfortable on the ground. 

Cody Law vs. Cris Lencioni Betting Preview

Bellator odds have Cody Law as the -290 betting favorite going into fight night. Law has yet to be an underdog in his MMA career.

These odds will make this fight the closest-matched bout of his career, according to his MMA odds history. 

Lencioni as Underdog

Cris Lencioni is the underdog at +245 in this featherweight bout. Interestingly enough, Lencioni has been an underdog in every single one of his Bellator MMA fights. It is impressive that he is 4-2 as an underdog in his young career.

According to the Law vs Lencioni betting analysis, the only fighter with knockout power is Law.

If there is a finish, it will most likely have to be Law by TKO/KO because it will be tough for Lencioni to get Law in a submission. Law has shown a lot of solid submission defense in his most recent fight.

This means that the -145 lines for this fight to go to the scorecards seem to have a lot of value. Keep an eye on that prop bet lineup until the last minute to see if that goes any further into plus-odds territory.

Win to Distance Chances

Lencioni to win inside the distance is at +605, so if you believe in his submission game off his back, this might be a longshot bet to keep your eye on. 

86% of the fan vote is in favor of Cody Law in this one. Unlike a lot of other sports, the public bet is something you might want to ride with; especially the way Bellator fights are usually set up. The betting favorite comes out on top the majority of the time. 

Cody Law vs. Cris Lencioni Betting Predictions

After breaking down this Bellator featherweight bout, it is pretty easy to find your best bet. For the final Law vs Lencioni betting prediction: Cody Law will come out victorious on Friday night. 

His explosiveness on the feet and his elite wrestling is going to be too much for Lencioni, who seems to give up real estate in the cage too easily. Law is going to be sharp while striking with Lencioni and looking for a knockout.

If Law can’t catch Lencioni on the feet, look for this fight to be pushed up against the fence where Law will be able to outside-trip Lencioni down to the canvas and go to work in the top position.

Who to Bet On?

MMA picks are difficult to make, but if you want to make a play on this fight specifically, you have to ride with the public and take Cody Law.

This kid has the potential to be a very high-level fighter, and this will be a stepping stone in his career.

A prop bet to think about playing is Law winning by decision. That line is currently at +140 and gives you a ton of value for a Cody Law win.

Lencioni has a pretty good chin, and his grappling skills will be enough for him to protect himself while Law is on his guard. 

Bellator Pick: Cody Law (+140)

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