Bellator 299: Aaron Pico vs. Pedro Carvalho Betting Analysis

Whenever there is a Bellator, even in Dublin, on the MMA schedule, it has proven to be a must-see television. There always seems to be great matchmaking on the Ireland cards. And one of the fights to keep an eye on this week is this featherweight co-main event between Aaron Pico and Pedro Carvalho.

Read more for the Pico vs. Carvalho betting analysis and prediction ahead of making your picks on this weekend’s MMA betting slate.

Aaron Pico vs. Pedro Carvalho Information

Aaron Pico vs Pedro Carvalho

Location of the game: 3Arena, Dublin, Ireland

Date and Time: Saturday, September 23. 4:00 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: Showtime | Paramount+

Last Fight Record

Pico is coming off a unanimous decision victory over James Gonzalez in April at Bellator 295.

Carvalho will look to bounce back from a decision loss to Jeremy Kennedy in February at Bellator 291.

Aaron Pico vs. Pedro Carvalho Betting Analysis

Aaron Pico

Pico is a 26-year-old rising Bellator featherweight MMA contender with a professional record of 11-4 with seven TKO/KO wins and two submissions. He’s listed as 5’7” with a 70.5” reach while fighting out of the orthodox stance. His background in combat sports goes back to being a lifelong wrestler. Making it to the world championship level in freestyling wrestling before making the transition to MMA. He took second in the 2016 Olympic Team Trials.

Pico trains at Jackson-Wink MMA in New Mexico. And has added a team around him to add to his already dominant wrestling skillset. You can see his long list of wrestling accomplishments at Bellator.com under his bio as he looks to repeat that success in MMA.

Pedro Carvalho

Carvalho is a Portuguese mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 13-7, with two TKO/KO wins and six submissions at the age of 28. He is a pretty big featherweight, listed as 5’11” with a 70.5” reach.

“The Game” is a top-5 featherweight in Bellator and looks for a win this weekend to earn his first title shot. Carvalho is the former CLFC lightweight champion; a good regional promotion ran out of Ireland, where this fight will be this weekend. He fights out of SBG Ireland, the famous gym of Conor McGregor ran out of Dublin.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to Bellator MMA.

Aaron Pico vs. Pedro Carvalho Betting Preview

This Pico vs Carvalho betting analysis doesn’t do too much to help you make any Bellator picks this weekend. This is because we haven’t even looked at the available betting lines or watched any of the tape that either man has out there.

According to the Bellator betting odds, Pico is coming in as a ridiculous -1000 betting favorite over Carvalho on Saturday night. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds. With the fight being heavily favored to end inside the distance at -285 odds.

Since this fight is very one-sided in the books, we are going to have to put a little more effort and have a little imagination while making this pick. After watching the tape on both men, this fight is surely favoring Pico. The only issue with this matchup is there should never be a -1000 betting favorite in the sport of MMA. Especially if the athletes are both ranked at the top of an organization.

Unstoppable Cardio

Pico has a pretty classic wrestler style where he moves like he is still on the mats and fights with a lot of output and ridiculous cardio. He has a big overhand right that he looks to land on the feet. And uses it to keep his opponents on their heels and open up the takedown.

Carvalho has a style that you see in a lot of fighters who are just very tough and have lots of natural talent. The athleticism advantage strongly goes to Pico in this matchup. But Carvalho is going to always be game to fight hard.

Aaron Pico vs. Pedro Carvalho Betting Prediction

The bottom line of this featherweight matchup is that one guy has way more paths to victory than the other. The Pico vs Carvalho betting analysis and betting preview above can only tell you so much about the story of this fight before you force yourself to overthink.

When making your Bellator best bets, don’t overthink this one; Pico is going to get his hand raised and probably in a dominant fashion.

• Since the moneyline is impossible to make any smart bets on, take Pico to win via submission at +225. Or at least inside the distance at -250.

The exact prediction on this one is that Pico is going to hurt Carvalho on the feet, get the fight to the ground. And Carvalho is going to roll over and give his back to stop the ground and pound raining down on him from Pico.

If you love sports and want more sports betting information@InsidersBetDigfree betting picks.