Best Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football Week 7

Sports Betting Dime
 
Best Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football Week 7

The NFL schedule makers have some explaining to do. The island games aka Thursday Night, Sunday Night and Monday Night Football are supposed to be appointment television. In Week 7, however, we got Saints-Cardinals to begin the week, Steelers-Dolphins on SNF, and Bears-Patriots on Monday Night Football. Not exactly a trio of mouth-watering matchups for NFL player props bettors.

Luckily, sports betting can make any game palatable, including this Chicago-New England slugfest. Both teams want to pound the ball relentlessly, which will make big passing days tough to come by for Justin Fields and Mac Jones.

The Patriots are currently 8-point favorites for this matchup, and with the game script likely in their favor we can expect a heavy dose of their running backs.

As a result, our Bears vs Patriots player props will be betting against significant pass volume, so check out the odds below, plus our best bets to target in the Week 7 player props.

Bears vs Patriots Player Props

Odds as of October 23 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on your Monday Night Football props in Week 7.

Fields and Jones both have extremely low passing over/under props by NFL standards. Chicago’s pivot projects for only 159.5 passing yards, 56 yards less than Jones. Both of these players will be featured in our Bears vs Patriots player props, starting with a fade of Jones.

MNF Prop #1: Mac Jones Under 215.5 Passing Yards

Jones has missed the last three games due to an ankle injury. His mobility apparently won’t be compromised on Monday, but we shouldn’t expect too many dropbacks.

New England ranks sixth in rushing play percentage, and on the ground is where you want to attack Chicago. The Bears rank 27th against the run per DVOA, compared to 14th against the pass.

Even when Jones was healthy he wasn’t being asked to sling it that often. He’s averaging only 32 pass attempts per game, and dating back to last year has failed to eclipse 215 passing yards in seven of his past 12 regular season starts.

Prop Pick: Mac Jones Under 215.5 Passing Yards (-115), 1 unit

MNF Prop #2: Justin Fields Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts

Bill Belichick always makes his opponents play left-handed. That means he sells out to take away their strengths. No team in football hands the ball off more than the Bears, so expect New England to load the box and force Fields to drop back.

Given that thought process, you’d expect us to target overs on Fields’ passing props. However, anyone who’s watched him play over the past two years knows that’s a losing proposition.

Aaron Rodgers vs the Commanders: 13/20 82 yards 1 TD 0 INT