Monday Night Football best bets: Bears at Patriots

The Bears and Patriots are playing each other in the NFL this week.

The Bears are 2-4 and rank 31st in Overall DVOA and 30th in Offense DVoa. Justin Fields ranks 32nd in both passer rating (72.7) and DYAR (Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement). The Bears have only thrown the ball 35% of the time (141 passes on 402 offensive plays). Mac Jones returns for the Patriots for first time since suffering a severe ankle sprain in Week 3. The Patriots have scored 26, 24, 29 and 38 points in the past four games. Most books have Patriots -8, but some books are offering Patriots +9.

The Patriots defense is set up for another fine performance against the Bears. The Bears have played well defensively, but they have worn down against running the ball. The wind is expected to gust into the 30-mph range. Everything in this game points toward an Under. Adam Burke recommends the Patriots. He also recommends Chicago. It's a good bet. They're a team that has been able to gain at least 124 yards on the ground in four of their six games.

The Patriots are going to beat the Bears on Monday Night Football. Dave Tuley is teasing the under. The Colts lost by 9 points, 19-10, at the Titans on Sunday.