Best Same Game Parlay Bets: Picks & Predictions, NFL Wild Card Round
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons.
Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Like all parlays, these are hard to hit, but the payouts make them a fun option for those interested in NFL betting.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
Same Game Parlay Picks Predictions & Bets for Wild Card Weekend
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Same Game Parlay:
- Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) Over 28.5 rushing yards
- Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) Under 82.5 receiving yards
- Durham Smythe (Dolphins) Over 18.5 receiving yards
If you combined all three legs from this same game parlay, the odds would be +475. If you wagered $100 on this, you would profit $475.
Saturday night will mark the fourth time in NFL history that the Dolphins and Chiefs will play one another in the postseason. While frigid temperatures are expected at kickoff, there are still some offensive props worth betting on.
One of those props is PatrickMahomes tallying over 28.5 rushing yards.
Back in Week 9, these two teams squared off in Germany. Throughout the first half of that matchup, whenever Mahomes went to leave the pocket, Jaelan Phillips was there to flush the Chiefs quarterback to the sideline.
Even with those efforts, Mahomes managed 24 rushing yards. Now, Phillips and Bradley Chubb are out with season-ending injuries.
The Dolphins allowed 304 rushing yards to quarterbacks this season and 53% of those yards came in the six games after Phillips tore his Achilles.
This bodes well for Mahomes, who has had seven games this season where he rushed for at least 29 yards. Five of those matchups happened at home.
If and when the pocket collapses, look for Mahomes to take advantage of the Dolphins injuries.
With the general understanding that DurhamSmythe props are far from exciting, the Dolphins tight end hauling in over 18.5 receiving yards is easier than you would think.
In relation to his prop total, Smythe finished the season strong. The veteran tight end averaged 43 yards receiving in the final four weeks of the season.
The opportunity has also been on the rise for Smythe and the Dolphins tight ends.
In the four previously mentioned games, Dolphins tight ends were targeted 14% of the time. That is an increase from 8% through the previous 14 weeks.
That increase and Smythe playing on 76% of the team’s offensive snaps only adds to the intrigue.
For what it is worth, the Chiefs are allowing 9.2 yards per reception to tight ends, and Smythe is averaging 2.1 receptions per game.
Between all of this and JaylenWaddle dealing with injuries, expect the Smythe to be a safety valve for TuaTagovailoa on shorter routes.
Transitioning to another pass catcher on the Dolphins, look for TyreekHill to finish just under 82.5 receiving yards.
One of the big reasons to bet the under is the mounting injuries for Hill. Along with an ongoing ankle injury, he has also been limited in practice with a quadriceps injury.
All of this comes against a Chiefs defense that is allowing the fourth fewest yards to wide receivers.
To be more specific, the AFC West winners are allowing 124.6 yards to the position on a per-game basis.
Circling back to their previous matchup in Week 9, the Chiefs allowed Hill to record eight receptions but managed to limit him to 62 yards.
Hill has also recorded 203 fewer yards on the road than when he is at home this season. In four of those road games, he had fewer than 82.5 yards.
Lions vs. Rams Same Game Parlay:
- Jared Goff (Lions) Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Kyren Williams (Rams) Under 81.5 rushing yards
- Lions Over 13.5 first half points
If you combined all three legs from this same game parlay, the odds would be +355. If you wagered $100 on this, you would profit $355.
In terms of storylines, the NFL could not have written up the Rams and Lions Wild Card matchup any better. In regards to sports betting, there are several plays to help you build a same game parlay.
While other games will be played in frigid temperatures, JaredGoff will play indoors at home where the Lions quarterback has thrived.
Heading into this weekend’s game, Goff has thrown 19 touchdown passes and had multiple touchdown passes in six of eight home games.
This has been a recurring theme during his time in Detroit as 70.5% of Goff’s touchdown passes as a Lion have come at Ford Field.
As far as the Rams are concerned, their defense has given up 24 touchdown passes. Included in those touchdowns allowed, the Rams allowed 1.6 passing touchdowns on a per-game basis this season.
The passing game will be the better path for the Lions to score this weekend. The Rams have allowed only seven total touchdowns to the running back position, tied with the Buccaneers for the fewest in the league.
The status of SamLaPorta is to be determined, but the rookie pass catcher was spotted at practice. Regardless of his availability, look for Goff to continue his trend with touchdown passes at home.
While the Rams rushing defense has been strong, the Lions have a good rush defense as well. Playing their first home playoff game in 30 years, the Lions have allowed fewer rushing yards than any team this season.
On a per-game basis, the Lions defense has allowed 60.4 rushing yards to running backs. This could spell trouble for KyrenWilliams and his 82.5-yard rushing prop.
There is no mistaking that even while missing four games, Williams was a second-year wonder for running backs.
That aside, there were only two games in which Williams played defenses that were top-10 against the run. In those games, Williams averaged 52.5 yards rushing. The Lions are the second-best team against the run.
That last part of this parlay is the Lions scoring over 13.5 points in the first half. The NFC North winning Lions have scored 14 or more first half points in nine games this season and are averaging 15.6 at home.
The Rams have allowed 11.2 points per game in the first half but have struggled against higher-scoring teams.
In the seven games the Rams played offenses in the top-12 in first half points scored, they allowed 16.2 points.
Bucs vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay:
- Rachaad White (Bucs) Over 23.5 receiving yards
- Mike Evans (Bucs) Over 4.5 receptions
- Eagles Under 10.5 first half points
If you combined all three legs from this same game parlay, the odds would be +490. If you wagered $100 on this, you would profit $490.
In a rematch from Week 3, the Eagles will visit the Buccaneers for the final game of Super Wild Card Weekend. While both teams do not have a ton of momentum heading into the playoffs, there are still props that are worth betting.
RachaadWhite entered this weekend third in receiving yards at his position and averaged 32.2 yards per game. The Buccaneers back also had 11 games in which he recorded at least 24 receiving yards.
In terms of receiving yards allowed to running backs, 63% of the yards the Eagles have allowed have come in road matchups.
In those nine road matchups, there have only been two times in which the Eagles allowed running backs to finish with fewer than 24 yards.
All of this bodes well for White, who is third among all Buccaneers with a 14% target share during home games. The next best running back is ChaseEdmonds who is at 3%.
Another skill position player who could surpass the over on his prop is MikeEvans.
Evans will look to record his eighth game with over 4.5 receptions against an Eagles defense that leads the league in receptions allowed to wide receivers.
To be more specific, their defense is allowing 15 receptions on a per-game basis. That will come in handy for Evans and the Buccaneers as their wide receivers are being targeted 68% of the time.
In his home games this season, Evans has averaged 5.1 receptions per game. Included in that is him recording five receptions back in Week 3 against the Eagles.
For Evans, this will be his eighth postseason game. In four of his previous games played, the Buccaneers pass catcher has recorded at least five receptions.
Unlike the playoffs last season, the Eagles are limping into the postseason. JalenHurts had injured his finger in the season finale and at least up until Thursday had not thrown a football.
As if that is not enough, the Eagles will be without A.J. Brown, who is recovering from a knee injury suffered in the season finale.
Last week was not the start of the issues for the Eagles. From the time the Eagles lost to the 49ers back in Week 13, the Eagles have averaged 10.5 first half points. During that time, their offense scored fewer than 10.5 points in four of six games.
Along with the Eagles’ struggles, the Buccaneers defense has limited offenses in the first half all season long.
The Buccaneers have allowed an average of 9.2 points in the first half this season, the fourth-lowest mark in the league.
