Betting Splits and CBB Sharp Money Picks for Wednesday February 7th
Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
You can always track the latest odds and betting percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.
in the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday’s College Basketball action.
Stetson (14-10) has won three of their last four games and just took down Central Arkansas 73-62 in overtime. Meanwhile, Bellarmine (6-18) just saw their brief two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Queens University 85-75. This line opened with Stetson listed as a 2-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the short chalk with Stetson, steaming the line up from -2 to -3. Some shops are even touching -3.5. This one-sided line move is especially notable due to the fact that this is an added/extra game (#306505-306506), which means it’s extremely low bet and the public can’t even find this game on their app. So we know that if the line is moving, it’s caused by pros who targeted this game and sided with Stetson. Currently 70% of bets and dollars are backing Stetson, which signals a lopsided amount of pro money backing the favorite. Stetson has the far better offensive efficiency (123rd vs 261st), better effective field goal percentage (53% vs 48%) and better three-point percentage (36% vs 34%). Ken Pom has Stetson winning by two-points (72-70), but he also has Stetson ranked much higher (205 vs 306). Those looking to protect themselves from a close win that may not cover the number since it’s moved could instead play Stetson on the moneyline at -165. Stetson is 6-3 in conference play. Bellarmine is 2-7.
Cleveland State (14-10) just saw their two-game winning streak come to an end, falling to Oakland 83-71. On the flip side, Purdue Fort Wayne (15-8) has won two of their last three games and just edged Youngstown State 82-78. This line opened with Purdue Fort Wayne listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. We’re seeing a few books juice up Purdue Fort Wayne -3.5 to -115, signaling some liability on the home team and a possible rise up to -4. Purdue Fort Wayne is receiving 73% of spread bets but 93% of spread dollars, indicating both public support but also heavy sharp action in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split. Ken Pom has Purdue Fort Wayne winning by five points (79-74). He also has Purdue Fort Wayne ranked higher (174th vs 203rd). Purdue Fort Wayne has the better effective field goal percentage (53% vs 50%), better free-throw percentage (71% vs 66%) and better defensive efficiency (160th vs 278th). Purdue Fort Wayne is 9-3 at home. Cleveland State is 3-9 on the road. Purdue Fort Wayne is -165 to win the game straight up on the moneyline. Home favorites in Horizon League conference play are 35-9 (80%) straight up this season.
