Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

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Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

New York Yankees (76-76) vs Toronto Blue Jays (85-67)

Game Info: Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Gerrit Cole (13-4) (2.81) vs Jose Berrios (11-10) (3.49)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees -135 / Toronto Blue Jays +124 --- Over/Under: 7.5

The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees clash Thursday in game 3 of an MLB series at Yankee Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Blue Jays look to build on their 5-game winning streak. The Blue Jays are currently the second AL wild card team. The Blue Jays pitching staff is 2nd in ERA (3.71), 6th in WHIP (1.24) and 7th in quality starts (67). The Blue Jays offense is 16th in runs per game (4.55), 10th in batting average (.257) and 18th in homers (175). Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with 161 hits and 69 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have combined for 299 hits and 155 RBI. Jose Berrios gets the ball, and he is 11-10 with a 3.49 ERA and 168 strikeouts this season. Berrios is 3-5 with a 5.01 ERA and 64 strikeouts in his career against the Yankees.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The Yankees look to snap a 3-game losing streak. The Yankees are 8 games back in the AL wild card race. The Yankees pitching staff is 8th in ERA (3.99), 7th in WHIP (1.24) and 24th in quality starts (44). The Yankees offense is 24th in runs per game (4.17), 29th in batting average (.225) and 8th in homers (209). Gleyber Torres leads the Yankees with 153 hits and 66 RBI, while DJ LeMahieu and Anthony Volpe have combined for 219 hits and 104 RBI. Gerrit Cole gets the ball, and he is 13-4 with a 2.81 ERA and 208 strikeouts this season. Cole is 6-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 84 strikeouts in his career against the Blue Jays.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (198).
  • The New York Yankees rank 29th in the league for hits this season (1122).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.71).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1429).

Randy’s Pick

The Yankees are getting the benefit of the doubt at home because Gerrit Cole is on the mound, but I don't care. We're getting plus money with the better team in the Blue Jays, a team fighting for playoff positioning. The Yankees offense still stinks, and Jose Berrios isn't too bad in his own right, with a 3.49 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Berrios has also allowed just 14 hits and 4 runs in his last 20 innings. The value is with the Blue Jays and the plus money, and it's not even close.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.