Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 8-24-23 MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles clash Thursday in game 3 of an MLB series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Blue Jays look for a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Blue Jays are 1 game out of the AL wild card race. The Blue Jays pitching staff is 1st in ERA (3.67), 7th in WHIP (1.24) and 5th in quality starts (57). The Blue Jays offense is 16th in runs per game (4.46), 7th in batting average (.258) and 15th in homers (147). Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with 149 hits and 61 RBI, while Whit Merrifield and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 258 hits and 129 RBI. Jose Berrios gets the ball, and he is 9-8 with a 3.39 ERA and 140 strikeouts this season. Berrios is 10-0 with a 2.66 ERA and 72 strikeouts in his career against the Orioles.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games against the Orioles following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven Thursday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last six Thursday games.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Orioles look for another win after winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Orioles have a 2 game lead in the AL East. The Orioles pitching staff is 13th in ERA (4.06), 15th in WHIP (1.27) and 10th in quality starts (52). The Orioles' offense is 6th in runs per game (4.94), 12th in batting average (.253) and 16th in homers (147). Adley Rutschman leads the Orioles with 127 hits and 61 RBI, while Austin Hays and Anthony Santander have combined for 228 hits and 118 RBI. Kyle Gibson gets the ball, and he is 12-7 with a 4.97 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. Gibson is 7-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 69 strikeouts in his career against the Blue Jays.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

• The Orioles have won each of their last 15 Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last 15 Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Thursday night home games.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Baltimore Orioles ranks 3rd in the league for doubles this season (241).
• The Baltimore Orioles ranks T5th in the league for triples this season (23).
• The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.67).
• The Toronto Blue Jays ranks T1st in the league for runs allowed this season (508).

Randy’s Pick

I'm not thrilled to get behind Kyle Gibson and his 4.97 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, as there's a strong case to be made for Jose Berrios, a guy who has downright owned the Orioles in his career. However, we're getting a near pick em price with the Orioles at home, the most profitable team by far in MLB over the last 180 days. The O's make bettors money hand over fist, and getting reasonable prices with them is hard to turn down. Give me the Orioles.