Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction 7-22-23 MLB Picks
The Mets and Red Sox do battle Saturday in game 2 of an MLB game at Fenway Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Mets Betting Preview
The Mets need a win as they’re 18 games back in the NL East. The Mets are 3-3 since the all star break. The Mets pitching staff is 18th in ERA (4.36), 21st in WHIP (1.34) and 21st in quality starts (30). The Mets offense is 18th in runs per game (4.44), 21st in batting average (.237) and 10th in homers (121). Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 95 hits and 44 RBI, while Jeff McNeil and Francisco Lindor have combined for 166 hits and 89 RBI. Max Scherzer gets the ball, and he is 8-3 with a 3.99 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 5-5 with a 5.51 ERA and 73 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.
Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox are 3 games back in the AL wild card race. Like the Mets, the Red Sox are 3-3 since the all star break. The Red Sox pitching staff is 17th in ERA (4.35), 28th in WHIP (1.30) and 23rd in quality starts (29). The Red Sox offense is 5th in runs per game (5.01), 4th in batting average (.263) and 21st in homers (105). Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with 104 hits and 50 RBI, while Justin Turner and Alex Verdugo have combined for 200 hits and 100 RBI. James Paxton gets the ball, and he is 5-2 with a 3.51 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Paxton is 1-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.
Boston Red Sox Team Facts
- The Red Sox have won each of their last six games against the Mets.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets.
- The Red Sox have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games against the Mets.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Friday games.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favourites.
New York Mets Team Facts
- The Mets have won each of their last six night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Mets as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mets' last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets' last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Pete Alonso has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Pete Alonso ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Boston Red Sox ranks 1st in the league for doubles this season (222).
- The Boston Red Sox ranks 3rd in the league for hits this season (877).
- The New York Mets ranks 30th in the league for doubles this season (126).
- The New York Mets are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- Randy’s Pick
The Mets continue to underachieve as they have the highest payroll by a large margin and find themselves out of division contention before August. Max Scherzer also hasn't been his normal self this season, with a 3.99 ERA. I have a hard time backing the Mets these days, especially when not getting plus money. The Red Sox are simply the better team, no matter how you slice it, and James Paxton has been more reliable with his 3.51 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Near pick em price, give me the Red Sox at home.
