Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Prediction 8-1-23 MLB Picks

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01 August 2023

Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Prediction 8-1-23 MLB Picks

The Mets and Royals clash Tuesday in game 1 of an MLB series at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Mets Betting Preview

The Mets need a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Mets are 6.5 games out of a wild card spot and are sellers at the deadline. The Mets pitching staff is 18th in ERA (4.32), 21st in WHIP (1.35) and 19th in quality starts (34). The Mets offense is 18th in runs per game (4.44), 20th in batting average (.238) and 11th in homers (133). Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 102 hits and 47 RBI, while Jeff McNeil and Francisco Lindor have combined for 188 hits and 99 RBI. Jose Quintana gets the ball, and he is 0-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Quintana is 3-10 with a 4.17 ERA and 129 strikeouts in his career against the Royals.

New York Mets Team Facts

The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against American League opponents following a win.
The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as road favourites against AL Central opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favourites against AL Central opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last five games as road favourites against American League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Jeff McNeil has recorded two or more hits in each of his last six Tuesday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last four games as favourites against AL opponents.
Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games.
Brett Baty has hit a home run in three of the Mets' last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Daniel Vogelbach has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Mets' last four games as road favourites against AL opponents.
Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
Pete Alonso ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (30) this season.

Royals Betting Preview

The Royals look to play spoiler after just sweeping the Twins. The Royals haven’t won 4 straight games since September of last year. The Royals pitching staff is 28th in ERA (5.22), 26th in WHIP (1.42) and 29th in quality starts (21). The Royals' offense is 29th in runs per game (3.77), 25th in batting average (.235) and 27th in homers (97). Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 112 hits and 60 RBI, while Salvador Perez and MJ Melendez have combined for 169 hits and 79 RBI. Zack Greinke gets the ball, and he is 1-11 with a 5.49 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Greinke is 5-1 with a 3.49 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

The Royals have lost each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a win.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Royals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
The Royals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as home underdogs.
The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals' last 16 Tuesday night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
MJ Melendez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals' last seven home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Zack Greinke has recorded three or more strikeouts in 33 of his last 34 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Royals' last two night games.
Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals' last five games against NL opponents.
Kyle Isbel has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances.
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T4th in the league in Steals (29) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Kansas City Royals ranks 1st in the league for triples this season (28).
The Kansas City Royals ranks 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.295).
The New York Mets ranks 29th in the league for doubles this season (142).
The New York Mets ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (831).

Randy’s Pick

The Mets should be favored for obvious reasons, but laying juice with them on the road given how disappointing they've been isn't much of an option. In fact, the Mets are fifth in terms of money lost this season. Only the Cardinals, White Sox, Royals and A's have lost more money than the Mets this season. The Royals just swept the Twins and Jose Quintana has just 11 innings under his belt this season, so the jury is still out on him. Zack Greinke is a shell of himself, but he's been respectable at home, where he has a 3.74 ERA through 53 innings. I'll take my chances with the Royals and the plus money.