New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-26-23 MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins and New York Mets clash Tuesday in game 1 of an MLB series at Citi Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Marlins look for a win after winning 6 of their last 10 games. The Marlins are 1 game back in the NL wild card race. The Marlins pitching staff is 16th in ERA (4.26), 16th in WHIP (1.29) and 16th in quality starts (50). The Marlins' offense is 26th in runs per game (4.16), 4th in batting average (.259) and 23rd in homers (163). Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with 202 hits and 69 RBI, while Bryan De La Cruz and Jorge Soler have combined for 265 hits and 149 RBI. Braxton Garrett gets the ball, and he is 9-6 with a 3.53 ERA and 154 strikeouts this season. Garrett is 0-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.
Miami Marlins Team Facts
The Marlins have won each of their last nine road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Mets following a home win.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five games as road favorites.
The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against NL East opponents.
The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets look to snap a 4-game losing streak. The Mets are 1 of 5 NL teams bounced from playoff contention. The Mets pitching staff is 19th in ERA (4.33), 21st in WHIP (1.36) and 13th in quality starts (56). The Mets offense is 20th in runs per game (4.40), 26th in batting average (.239) and 11th in homers (205). Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 158 hits and 66 RBI, while Jeff McNeil and Francisco Lindor have combined for 303 hits and 144 RBI. Joey Lucchesi gets the ball, and he is 3-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Lucchesi is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
New York Mets Team Facts
The Mets have won each of their last 11 games against the Marlins following a loss.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three Tuesday games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Marlins and Mets.
Matchup/League Facts
The New York Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (214).
The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for hits this season (1236).
The Miami Marlins rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.259).
The Miami Marlins rank T27th in the league for walks this season (410).
Randy’s Pick
Must win games for the Marlins if they're going to sneak into the playoffs, and the Mets are playing like a team that has nothing to play for. Joey Lucchesi has been good, but he has just 40.2 innings under his belt. Braxton Garrett is enjoying his best season yet, and he's allowed just 12 hits and 1 earned run in his last 15.2 innings. Garrett has also been better on the road than at home this season. Cheap price with the more desperate team. Give me the fish on the road.
