Brighton v Manchester City tips: Premier League best bets and preview
The shackles are off as Brighton host champions Manchester City, James Cantrill picks out two best bets.
Football betting tips: Premier League
2pts Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score at 5/6 (10Bet)
0.5pts Pervis Estupinan to score or assist at 5/1 (Betfair, Paddy Power)
Fresh from their coronation, Manchester City head to the south coast to face Brighton in their penultimate game of the campaign.
Arsenal’s defeat at Nottingham Forest on Saturday meant City's game with Chelsea was largely irrelevant but they beat them anyway to celebrate a third successive Premier League title and fifth of Pep Guardiola’s tenure.
Guardiola made nine changes from the side that breezed past Real Madrid in the Champions League, and with the FA Cup and that European final on the horizon he may opt for a similar approach in Brighton.
This took his tally to six assists for the campaign, meaning his G+A p90 average is 0.21.
The full-back threatened to add to that tally against Southampton at the weekend, having two efforts and completing three key passes, generating an expected goal involvement (xGI) of 0.26.
Over his last seven league games he has scored one, assisted two, missed three ‘big chances’ and had 12 shots.
The 5/1 about a goal or assist does represent value based on his seasonal average, but certainly appeals given his recent form.
Brighton v Manchester City best bets and score prediction
- 2pts Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score at 5/6 (10Bet)
- 0.5pts Pervis Estupinan to score or assist at 5/1 (Betfair, Paddy Power)
Score prediction: Brighton 2-2 Manchester City (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Odds correct at 1450 BST (22/05/23)
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