Browns vs. Texans Prediction, Pick & Odds: Stay in the Flames with Flacco?

Our Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans prediction is based on the best NFL odds as we believe that Joe Flacco has another prolific passing performance in him.

The Browns (9-5) enter Week 16 with back-to-back wins behind veteran quarterback Joe Flacco and are seeking a road victory over the Houston Texans to solidify their status in the AFC playoff chase.

Can the Texans (8-6) earn an important home win to help their postseason hopes with rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud sidelined once again?

As part of our NFL predictions for Week 16, here is our best Browns vs. Texans prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Browns vs. Texans prediction

Joe Flacco Over 246.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

We’re still wondering when the sportsbooks are going to catch up to the style of play Flacco wants to deploy. The gunslinger has been given a surprise opportunity to extend his NFL career - and if this is the swan song for the 38-year-old, he has every intention of going out with a bang.

Flacco has passed for 300-plus yards in each of his last two games and has cleared this line of 246.5 passing yards in all three of his starts this season. While his prop has been pushed higher and higher each week, it’s still not to a level at which I’m considering fading it.

Particularly against the beatable Houston passing defense in a dome, we feel Flacco has another opportunity to pile up yardage - regardless of his efficiency or the number of interceptions he throws. The Texans have allowed an average of 239.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

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Browns vs. Texans best odds

Joe Flacco Over 246.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

For as long as FanDuel remains the outlier on this prop, that will be the obvious best spot among our best NFL prop betting sites to place this wager. As of this writing, FanDuel lists the Flacco passing prop at 246.5 yards with -114 odds on the Over.

BetMGM, Caesars, and bet365 each list the line at 251.5 yards with bet365 offering the most favorable odds of the group at -110. With other options on the board, wise bettors will avoid the inflated 254.5-yard line at DraftKings.

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Browns vs. Texans odds

The Texans opened as a 1.5-point favorite in their home stadium, but with news that Stroud was ruled out due to a concussion, the line has flipped to favor the Browns by between two and three points across our best sports betting apps. 

The total opened at 41.5 and has fallen to between 40 and 40.5 across our best sportsbooks. Roughly 70% of wagers have come in on the Under.

Browns vs. Texans game info

• When: Sunday, Dec. 24, at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
• How to watch: CBS
• Weather: Indoors

Browns-Texans prediction made Friday at 4:30 p.m. ET.

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