Bucks vs. Nets prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, Feb. 28 best bets from proven model
The Brooklyn Nets welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to Barclays Center on Tuesday evening. Brooklyn is 34-26 overall with an 18-11 home record this season. Milwaukee is 43-17 overall, including 14 straight wins and a 17-12 road record. Giannis Antetokounmpo (quad) is listed as probable for the Bucks, while Ben Simmons (knee) is out for the Nets.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 7-point favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 230.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Nets odds. Before making any Nets vs. Bucks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 57-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Nets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Nets vs. Bucks:
- Bucks vs. Nets spread: Bucks -7
- Bucks vs. Nets over/under: 230.5 points
- Bucks vs. Nets money line: Bucks -260, Nets +210
- MIL: The Bucks are 14-12-3 against the spread in road games
- BKN: The Nets are 15-13-1 against the spread in home games
Featured Game| Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Why the Bucks can cover
While Antetokounmpo is battling injury concerns that have caused him to leave his last two games early, the Bucks still have top-flight players in Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, and Khris Middleton. Holiday was selected as an All-Star, and he is averaging 19.8 points, 7.1 assists, and 5.2 rebounds while shooting 38.4% from 3-point range and bringing elite defense. Holiday is a significant part of Milwaukee's league-leading defense, and the Bucks also have offensive strengths.
Milwaukee is in the top five of the NBA in 3-pointers, making 14.4 triples per game. The Bucks are also very potent on the offensive glass, securing 29.3% of available offensive rebounds and scoring 15.1 second-chance points per game. Brooklyn is below-average on defense, giving up 113.9 points per 100 possessions, and the Nets are also in the bottom five of the league in free throw prevention, yielding 25.7 attempts per game at the line.
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn's offense is potent, and the Nets also have strengths on defense. The Nets are leading the NBA with 6.4 blocked shots per game, and Brooklyn is in the top four of the league in field goal percentage allowed (46.0%), 2-point percentage allowed (51.2%), and assists allowed (22.9 per game) this season. Brooklyn should also benefit from Milwaukee's issues at the free throw line, with the Bucks shooting only 73.8% this season.
On offense, Brooklyn is scoring 1.15 points per possession with elite shooting marks. The Nets are converting 50% of field goal attempts, 38.8% of 3-point attempts and 57% of 2-point attempts. Brooklyn also generates 15.8 fast break points per game, and the Nets are in the top 10 in free throw accuracy (79.6%) and assists (25.6 per game). Milwaukee is last in the NBA in turnover creation, averaging only 12.0 takeaways per game, and Brooklyn can operate freely as a result.
How to make Nets vs. Bucks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 233 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
