Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins 6/3/2023 Picks

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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins 6/3/2023 Picks

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins 6/3/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Cleveland Guardians will meet with the Minnesota Twins in MLB action in Target Field, MN, on Saturday, June 3, 2023, at 7:15 PM ET.

Through 56 contests, Cleveland could not build on the success of 2022 because they have a losing record and are now in third place in the AL Central.

The Guardians are again dire at slugging, a recurring problem. The Guardians have the lowest slugging percentage and fewest home runs of any major league team.

The outcome is an offense with runs per game that ranks 29th this year.

They continue to steal bases and avoid striking out, but their batting average fell more than 20 points from the previous season (coincidentally, their BABIP is also down by 17 points).

Cleveland has the lowest league-wide rate of heavy hits, so it’s hardly a coincidence.

Cleveland’s pitching remains good, with the Guardians’ staff ERA ranking them 10th heading into play on Friday. With the third-lowest ERA in MLB at 3.13, the bullpen is once again a significant strength.

Logan Allen was the most potent starter at preventing runs, and the starting pitching was strong overall. This season, he has a 2.72 ERA and a 1.53 road record.

In his most recent start, he held a potent Baltimore lineup scoreless and set career highs in innings pitched and strikeouts.

In 5.2 innings against the Twins in May, Allen limited them to only two runs. The majority of teams will always choose that.

The Guardians’ bullpen entered the game in 63 save situations with a 60.6% save percentage. Pitchers from the Guardians bullpen entered games 48 times with runners on base and made 73 outings in high-leverage situations.

For the year, The Guardians sent 177 relievers to the mound. The relievers recorded 30 holds this season, ranking 14th in MLB. They made 20 saves throughout the season and missed 13 of their 33 chances to make saves.

  • The Cleveland Guardians are 4-1 in their last five matches against the spread.
  • The Cleveland Guardians are 15-14 in their road matches against the spread.
  • The totals went OVER in 3 of Guardians’ last five matches.

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The fact that Sonny Gray will start this game must sound like lovely music to any Minnesota supporter. In both the ERA and FIP categories, Gray leads the American League, and only one NL pitcher outperforms him.

Along with that, through 60.1 innings this year, he did not give up a home run. That won’t alter when facing MLB’s weakest home run-hitting squad.

He surrendered three runs in his May start versus Cleveland, the most he has since 2023. Gray’s ERA this season is 1.27, but this game is in Minneapolis.

They can control the game behind him because Minnesota’s bullpen ranks in the top 10 regarding ERA and FIP.

This game will likely come down to the Twins’ hitters if their pitchers keep performing well. This season, the sixth-most home runs in the majors helped Minnesota, which is 12th in runs per game.

They also rank sixth in the league with an astounding 9.5% walk rate. However, their offensive situation could be better.

The Twins have the highest strikeout rate of any team, and only one team stole fewer bases than the Twins.

Despite all of the walks, their OBP is only 19th, and despite all of the home runs, their slugging percentage is only a mediocre 16th.

There is some hope that Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton, Minnesota’s two most significant bats on paper, will figure it out and turn this offense into a juggernaut.

The Minnesota pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.49 (199 earned runs yielded) and allowed 216 runs this season. They allowed 55 home runs and 3.79 runs per nine innings, which places them second in MLB.

In addition to having a team FIP of 3.60 this year, the Twins have a team WHIP of 1.173. Their K/BB ratio at the moment is 9.80 (558 strikeouts to 171 walks).

With 431 total hits allowed, their pitching staff is ranked second in MLB.

  • The Minnesota Twins are 2-3 in their last five matches against the spread.
  • The Minnesota Twins are 15-13 in their road matches against the spread.
  • The totals went OVER in 3 of the Twins’ last five matches.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins. The MLB pick for this game is the Minnesota Twins. Even though Logan Allen performed admirably through his first ten professional starts, Sonny Gray is currently in a league of his own.

Although Cleveland has a fantastic bullpen, Minnesota can match it. Both teams’ offenses aren’t fantastic, but Cleveland’s is particularly bad, given they share the field with the Oakland Athletics.

Minnesota keeps winning at home with their Cy Young candidate on the mound shutting down a terrible offense. The Minnesota Twins will win to a predicted score of 7-4.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins 6/3/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

MLB Starting Time: 7:15 PM ET

Location: Target Field, MN

Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023

TV: FOX

MLB Odds: Cleveland Guardians +119