Twins vs. Guardians odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, June 30 best bets from proven model

Twins vs. Guardians is a matinee game at Progressive Field on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET. The game is the finale of a five-game series between American League Central rivals. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Guardians as -160 money line favorites. Vegas thinks the total number of runs will be 8.5. SportsLine's model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it's on a 59-51 run on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 12 weeks.

SportsLine's proven model has made its picks and MLB predictions for Twins vs. Guardians. Twins are 22-15 in day games, while Guardians are 20-19 in games played in the day.

Twins vs. Guardians is on Thursday, June 30. Twins are 22-15 in day games, while Guardians are 20-19 in the same category.

Twins are above the American League average in home runs, doubles, batting average and slugging percentage. Minnesota's lineup is deep and effective, headlined by star-level talent in Byron Buxton. Chris Archer will start for Minnesota. Archer has a 3.14 ERA this season and a 1.57 ERA during the month of June.

Cleveland has a solid overall arsenal and home-field advantage at the end of a long series. The Guardians are above-average in doubles, triples, stolen bases, strikeout avoidance, and batting average. Shane Bieber is a two-time All-Star and winner of the 2020 AL Cy Young award. Bieber owns a 3.07 ERA with 88 strikeouts in 85 innings this season.

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total and projects 8.0 combined runs. One side of the money line has all the value.