Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7-23-23 MLB Picks

The Phillies and Guardians meet Sunday in game 3 of their MLB series at Progressive Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies look to avoid a sweep and snap a 4-game losing streak. The Phillies now find themselves a game out of the wild card race. The Phillies pitching staff is 12th in ERA (4.09), 8th in WHIP (1.25) and 9th in quality starts (41). The Phillies' offense is 14th in runs per game (4.52), 7th in batting average (.257) and 19th in homers (109). Bryson Stott leads the Phillies with 111 hits and 36 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Trea Turner have combined for 207 hits and 92 RBI. Aaron Nola gets the ball, and he is 9-6 with a 4.27 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. This will be Nola’s first career game against the Guardians.

Guardians Betting Preview

The Guardians are at a .500 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The Guardians are a 1.5 games back in the AL Central. The Guardians pitching staff is 9th in ERA (3.89), 16th in WHIP (1.27) and 13th in quality starts (35). The Guardians' offense is 24th in runs per game (4.19), 12th in batting average (.253) and 30th in homers (71). Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 109 hits and 55 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor have combined for 206 hits and 108 RBI. The Guardians didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

• The Guardians have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Guardians have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as favourites.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games.
• The Phillies have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five road games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Josh Naylor ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.312) this season.
• Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cleveland Guardians ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (688).
• The Cleveland Guardians ranks 30th in the league for home runs this season (71).
• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 3rd in the league for triples this season (20).
• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (105).

Randy’s Pick

The Guardians didn't announce a starting pitcher, but I'm still siding with them given how this week has played out. The Guardians have found their stride recently and find themselves back in the division race. Right when it looked like the Phillies were turning the corner, they've lost 4 straight games and the offense has fallen off a cliff. The Guardians are just in simply better form and I have to lean toward them in this series finale.