College Football Odds: Baylor-Iowa State prediction, odds and pick

Baylor is 2-1 this season and is ranked 17th in the AP Poll. They lost their last game at BYU in double overtime. This is their first Big 12 game of the season. Iowa State is undefeated and fresh off a 43-10 drubbing of Ohio.

Baylor is coming off a double-overtime loss to BYU. Iowa State is known for its physical style of play. Baylor's offense has struggled to push the ball downfield. The team does not have a single receiver with over 100 yards this season. Richard Reese is the team's leading rusher with 237 yards on 7.0 yards per carry. On the defensive side, Baylor is third in the Big 12 in rush defense.

Iowa State is an undefeated favorite against the 17th-ranked Baylor Bears. Iowa State has played just one Power 5 conference team this season. The Cyclones have the 5th best run defense in the country and the 16th most effective rushing offense. Baylor has the 15th ranked rushing offence. Xavier Hutchinson is a senior receiver who has 28 receptions this year. Anthony Johnson Jr. is the defensive back who moved to the inside position this term.

Baylor-Iowa State is a conference game with a low total. 14 of the last 15 games with the same point spread have gone under the expected total, so I'm going to pick the team with good defenses.

Baylor-Iowa State is a final game. The final prediction and pick is to under 45.5 (-112).