College Football Parlay Predictions, Odds Week 12

Each week, we scour the markets to devise a three-leg college football parlay that provides excellent returns, and we have done so again with this week's college football parlay predictions for Week 12 based on the best NCAAF odds.

The first two legs of our Week 12 parlay involve teams very much in the College Football Playoff mix, as we identified one program that is in a trap spot between games against top 10 teams, and another whose undefeated season we expect to come to an end.

With our third leg, we got creative by using an alternate spread to drive a line past a key number as we are fading a team off an emotional loss last week.

Here are our best college football parlay predictions for Week 12 (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

College football parlay predictions: Week 12

(Odds via FanDuel)

• Maryland +19.5 vs. Michigan (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
• Oregon State -2.5 vs. Washington (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Virginia +7.5 alternate spread vs. Duke (-188) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

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College football parlay Week 12

Maryland +19.5 vs. Michigan (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

Michigan passed its first test after the surprise news that head coach Jim Harbaugh would be suspended for the remainder of the regular season. The Wolverines took care of business at Happy Valley with a 24-15 win over Penn State, a game in which it flexed its muscles and ran the ball on 32 consecutive offensive plays. 

The Wolverines have a tricky road game against Maryland this week following their annual regular-season finale against Ohio State. From a College Football Playoff perspective, the Wolverines are past needing convincing wins to firm their spot, as they may even still crack the top four with a loss in the Big Ten Championship Game. However, the Wolverines could be left out of the conference championship altogether with a loss next week, and it would not be surprising to see a lackadaisical effort on Michigan's part this week with everything to play for next week. 

Michigan may be a bit overvalued entering this matchup, as Penn State is the only ranked team it has beaten, and the Nittany Lions have historically struggled against elite competition, going 3-17 against top 10 teams under James Franklin, including a 1-10 combined record against top 10 Michigan and Ohio State teams. Maryland is an unconventional mid-tier Big Ten team, as it has the third-best offense in the conference, with most of its success coming through the air, as its 281.0 passing yards per game are less than nine yards fewer than conference-leading Ohio State. That makes the Terrapins a tricky team to prepare for, and they will present the biggest challenge to date for a Wolverines pass defense that allows the fewest yards per game through the air (134.6).

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Oregon State -2.5 vs. Washington (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This line is as fishy as it gets, as oddsmakers suggest that Washington's perfect season will end in Corvallis. They may be onto something, as since a 4-0 start with wins by an average of 32.8 points, the Huskies have won six consecutive games, all by 10 or fewer points.

While Washington's defense shut out Utah in the second half last week, allowing them to cross the 50-yard line just once over the final 30 minutes, the Utes also did score touchdowns on four consecutive first-half possessions. In addition, it is concerning that Washington allowed Utes quarterback Bryson Barnes to surpass his previous career-high of passing yards (235) in the first half last week. Thus, we expect a Beavers offense that entered last week ranked third in Rush Success and in the top 22 in Line Yards and Finishing Drives to prove too much for Washington. 

The Beavers are an impressive 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season and are 16-1 ATS in Corvallis since 2021. Look for the home crowd to make the difference in this game and for Oregon State to hand Washington its first loss.

Virginia +7.5 alternate spread vs. Duke (-188) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The -188 odds for this wager would not be enticing as a singular bet, but the fact that this third leg takes a two-leg parlay from +272 odds to a +470 payout makes much more sense from a value perspective.

Duke comes into this game off a valiant effort on the road against North Carolina, a 47-45 double-overtime loss as a 10.5-point underdog. However, as long as starting quarterback Riley Leonard remains out, the Blue Devils' offense has a much lower ceiling, especially when facing more stout defensive teams than the Tar Heels.

Virginia might be just a 2-8 football team, but it has fought valiantly lately, losing by 10 combined points in recent road games at Miami and Louisville. Redshirt freshman quarterback Andrew Colandrea filled in admirably for injured starter Tony Muskett last week, throwing for 314 yards and running for 89 more. There is a chance Muskett returns this week, but even if he doesn't, we have little faith in Duke's Grayson Loftis, who has completed just 50% of his passes in relief of Leonard. Head coach Mike Elko is not ready to give him the entire offensive playbook either, as Loftis has averaged a paltry 5.9 yards per attempt in his limited action.

We are making this parlay wager at FanDuel, as DraftKings only offers +462 odds, and we would only be getting Maryland at +19 and Oregon State at -2.5 at -108 in comparison.

College football parlay picks made 11/14/2023 at 4:22 p.m. ET.

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