Commanders vs. Cowboys NFL Player Props, Odds
OurCommanders vs. Cowboys NFL player props for Week 12 based on the best NFL odds seebacking the respective passing offenses as a valuable strategy on ThanksgivingDay.
In a game that features the Cowboys (7-3)as massive favorites over the Commanders (4-7), could we see both quarterbacksthrow it around with the eyes of the nation watching?
We’re also looking for Brian Robinson tocontinue his surprising run as one of the top-receiving backs in the league.
Along with our NFL Thanksgiving predictions and Commanders vs. Cowboys predictions, here are our best Commanders vs. Cowboys NFL player props for Week 12 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Commanders vs. Cowboys NFL player props: Thanksgiving
Dak Prescott Over 275.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Washington secondary has been one ofthe most attackable units in the NFL this season as the Commanders have allowed258.3 yards per game. Only the Bucs and Chargers have allowed more passingyards per game to their opponents.
Without Ezekiel Elliott to lean on inthis year’s Turkey Day game, I’m looking for Dak Prescott to continue hisrecent trajectory in this plus-matchup. Dak has cleared this passing line inthree of his past four games and should put on a show at home on Thursday.
The majority of our recommendedsportsbooks offer Prescott’s passing line at 278.5 yards but we’re getting abetter value at FanDuel, which offers the line at 275.5 yards. You’re notlosing anything on the odds at FanDuel, either, as their -114 odds are betterthan some of the best sports betting apps that offer lesser value on the passing total.
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Sam Howell Over 251.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Sam Howell’s passing yardage prop feelsextremely attainable for the quarterback who currently leads the league inpassing yards on the season. Howell has cleared this passing line seven timeson the season, doing so in four consecutive games heading into Thursday.
The impediment here is the strength ofthe Dallas defense. The Cowboys allow only 157.1 passing yards per game,ranking as the second-best passing defense in the NFL. But in a game scriptthat is expected to see Howell playing from behind in the second half, I likehim to clear this line in garbage time given his proclivity for those types ofperformances this year.
Similar to the way it lined up for DakPrescott’s prop, the majority of our best sports betting sites list the Howell passingline a little bit higher than what we’re seeing at FanDuel. Most of the bookshave the line at 254.5 passing yards, while FanDuel checks in at 251.5yards, which is more favorable for Over bettors. With -114 odds at FanDuel, Iprefer playing the prop there rather than the -110 odds on 254.5 yards atbet365.
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Brian Robinson longest reception Over 11.5 yards (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The lack of Brian Robinson receivingprops available across our best sportsbooks as of Wednesday afternoon isa disappointment. We can’t seem to find any books offering receiving yardage orreception totals for the workhorse Washington running back.
For a running back ranking fourth inthe NFL in receiving yards entering the week, you’d think the books would have offerings on him. We did find an option from DraftKings that we’re going toattack, and it's Robinson’s longest reception, with the line set at 11.5 yardswith -125 odds on Over.
Robinson is getting plenty of opportunityin the passing game, drawing 15 targets over the past two weeks while rackingup explosive plays as a receiver. Robinson’s longest reception over the pasttwo games has gone for 21 yards and 51 yards, respectively. Against a Dallasdefense that should stuff the run, I like Robinson to find room for another bigplay as a receiver in a projected negative game script.
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Commanders vs. Cowboys player props made Wednesday at 1:00 p.m. ET.
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