CONCACAF Gold Cup Odds, Free Picks & Betting Tips

Covers

12 July 2023

CONCACAF Gold Cup Odds, Free Picks & Betting Tips

Jamaica are still in search of their first CONCACAF Gold Cup victory and will have to go through a daunting Mexico side to have a shot. With a more well-rounded attack, our betting picks believe the Reggae Boyz will make it through.

Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

With the 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup surging towards a big finish, Jamaica and Mexico go head-to-head on Wednesday for a place in the final.

For Jamaica, this run to the semifinals continues an impressive record at the Gold Cup, with Amari’i Bell’s winner against Guatemala over the weekend making it four trips to the semis in the last five tries for the Reggae Boyz.

That raises the prospect of an upset here, but Mexico showed flashes of their quality in solid group-stage wins over Honduras and Haiti. Though they didn’t hit top gear in their quarterfinal win over Costa Rica, an Orbelin Pineda penalty and a late goal from Erick Sanchez sent the Mexicans through.

Find out which side I'm leaning toward in my free Jamaica vs Mexico betting picks for this Wednesday, July 12 showdown.

Jamaica vs Mexico best odds

Jamaica vs Mexico picks and predictions

While the Jamaicans are no strangers to reaching this stage of the Gold Cup, they’ve only reached the final twice and are still looking to hoist the trophy for the first time. So what makes this year’s team different?

It starts with the quality that manager Heimir Hallgrimsson can turn to in the final third, with Demarai Gray, Leon Bailey, and Bobby De Cordova-Reid supporting Michail Antonio. That blend of pace and power gives Jamaica the kind of cutting edge that can trouble this Mexico defense — and they’ve already scored 11 goals on their path to the last four while only conceding twice.

The Reggae Boyz have proven plenty at this tournament. They came within minutes of beating the USMNT in the group stage (but had to settle for a 1-1 draw) and cruised past Trinidad & Tobago — with Gray scoring twice. These recent results point to Jamaica as a team on the rise with a great opportunity to make a statement.

Despite their underdogs tag, I see the Jamaicans stepping up on Wednesday. Sure, the Mexicans scored seven goals in their first two group games, but their underwhelming (and, at times, wasteful) outing against Costa Rica on the weekend is unlikely to have sparked sleepless nights for Jamaica ahead of this semifinal.

I expect Jamaica to be up for this occasion and I’m picking the Reggae Boyz to find a way through, with these plus odds allowing for a win in extra time or penalties too.

My best bet: Jamaica to reach the final (+240 at bet365)

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.

Best CONCACAF Gold Cup bonuses

Looking to do some CONCACAF Gold Cup betting? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:

B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets!

best soccer betting sites for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Jamaica vs Mexico side analysis

Given what we’ve seen from these teams at the 2023 Gold Cup, it’s a little surprising that Mexico are such heavy favorites. You can find Jamaica moneyline odds north of +400, even though you could certainly make the case that they’re the team in better form.

The Reggae Boyz are unbeaten at this year’s tournament and have been arguably the most clinical team so far, even with Antonio on an international goal drought that dates back to early 2022. If their less-heralded back line can hold firm, Jamaica have enough firepower to get over the line.

The Mexicans have rebounded relatively well from a disappointing 3-0 Nations League loss to the Americans this summer — a game that exposed some defensive vulnerabilities. But that result likely still stings. I see Mexico attack posing problems for Jamaica at that end of the field, but they haven’t been at their best this month and this contest should be closer than the odds suggest.

Jamaica vs Mexico Over/Under analysis

After Jamaica produced a gritty 1-0 victory against Guatemala, followed by a business-like win for Mexico in their quarterfinal tie, it’s reasonable to wonder whether another cagey battle lies ahead here at Allegiant Stadium.

However, I see this matchup being more open. The teams served up a 2-2 draw in Nations League action back in late March — with all four goals coming in the first half — and there are plenty of playmakers on show who can turn the game in an instant.

The first goal will be especially key here. Jamaica have scored first in all four games (and in the first half in three of their four games).