Mexico vs. Jamaica odds, prediction, start time: 2023 Gold Cup picks, July 12 best bets by top soccer expert

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Mexico vs. Jamaica odds, prediction, start time: 2023 Gold Cup picks, July 12 best bets by top soccer expert

It should be quite a showdown on Wednesday when Jamaica and Mexico square off at Allegiant Stadium with a spot in the 2023 Concacaf Gold Cup final on the line. Mexico have long been the class of Concacaf, though the USMNT are gaining quickly, and Jamaica have been a constant thorn in the side of the top teams. Now the Jamaicans come in unbeaten in this tournament, with three victories since a 1-1 draw with the Americans to open the 2023 Gold Cup. Mexico dominated their first two games before losing a meaningless group finale 1-0 to Qatar. The Reggae Boyz beat Guatemala 1-0 on Sunday in the 2023 Gold Cup quarterfinals, while Mexico defeated Costa Rica 2-0. El Tri have won a record eight Gold Cup titles, while Jamaica have lost in the final twice (2015 and '17).

Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Mexico are -160 favorites (risk $160 to win $100) in the latest Jamaica vs. Mexico odds, while the Reggae Boyz are +470 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +250 and the over/under for total goals is 2.5. Before you lock in your Mexico vs. Jamaica picks, .

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.45 units), FA Cup (+3.07) and EFL Cup (+3.64).

Now, Green has broken down the Jamaica vs. Mexico matchup from every angle and locked in his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Mexico vs. Jamaica:

  • Jamaica vs. Mexico spread: Mexico -0.5 (-160)
  • Jamaica vs. Mexico over/under: 2.5 goals 
  • Jamaica vs. Mexico money line: Jamaica +470, Mexico -160, Draw +250
  • JAM: Jamaica have scored multiple goals three times in their past 10 games 
  • MEX: El Tri have scored at least twice in seven of their past 11 matches 
  • Jamaica vs. Mexico picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Mexico

El Tri have a ton of experience and have had much success in this event, and they got off to a flying start to this edition. Mexico defeated Honduras 4-0 and Haiti 3-1 to seize control of the group. That gave interim manager Jaime Lozano a chance to rest players in a 1-0 loss to Qatar. The result belies how that match played out, as El Tri completely dominated. They held the ball for 77% of the game and had a massive 25-1 advantage in shots, putting six on target. Qatar scored on their only attempt. 

Orbelin Pineda and Erick Sanchez both scored in the victory against Costa Rica, and they should continue pacing the attack along with Henry Martin. Santiago Gimenez has five goals in just 15 international matches, and the 22-year-old can provide a spark off the bench. Guillermo Ochoa, 37, is the unquestioned leader, and the goalkeeper and captain can still make the big saves. See which team to pick here.     

Why you should back Jamaica 

The Reggae Boyz aren't lacking for firepower, with a quartet of English Premier League players leading the way. West Ham's Michail Antonio, 33, and Fulham's Bobby Decordova-Reid, 30, are the versatile veterans of the group. Everton'sDemarai Gray and Leon Bailey of Aston Villa bring plenty of pace. Bailey scored twice against Trinidad and Tobago, and Bailey is among the nine other Jamaica goal-scorers in the tournament. The Reggae Boyz have an 11-2 advantage in goals.

The defense has had some hiccups, but it was able to hold the USMNT to just one goal and four shots on target despite yielding 68% possession. Andre Blake is a three-time MLS Goalkeeper of the Year and helped lead the Philadelphia Union to the MLS Cup final last season. The Jamaicans also have some experience on the back line, with three players holding at least 50 caps. See which team to pick here.

How to make Jamaica vs. Mexico picks

Green has broken down the Jamaica vs. Mexico match from every angle. He is leaning Over on the goal total and has two confident best bets, including one that pays plus-money. He is only sharing his Concacaf Gold Cup picks and analysis at SportsLine.