Nuggets vs. Bucks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets
The Milwaukee Bucks (53-20) will look to leading scorer Giannis Antetokounmpo (31.1 ppg) when they try to knock off the Nikola Jokic-led Denver Nuggets (49-24) on March 25, 2023. The Bucks are 3-point underdogs against the Nuggets. The over/under for the matchup is 236.5.
Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds
- Nuggets odds to win: -149
- Bucks odds to win: +127
- Spread: Nuggets (-3)
- Total: 236.5
Nuggets vs. Bucks Promo Codes
Game Time and Information
- When: Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
- TV: NBA TV, ALT, and BSWI
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Bucks?
Nuggets and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Nuggets are 28-21-1 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
The Bucks have a 2-4-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 3 points or more this season.
These teams average a combined 233.5 points per game, three fewer points than the over/under of 236.5 set for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 225 points per game, 11.5 fewer than the over/under for this game.
The average total the Nuggets have had set in games this year is 7.1 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
Milwaukee’s games this year have averaged a total of 229 points, 7.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Denver has gone 39-32-2 ATS this season.
The Bucks have a 40-28-5 record against the spread this season.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets outscore opponents by 3.9 points per game (scoring 116.7 points per game to rank eighth in the league while giving up 112.8 per contest to rank 11th in the NBA) and have a +284 scoring differential overall.
The Nuggets win the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. They are collecting 42.8 rebounds per game (19th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 40.2 per contest.
Denver hits 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 38.9% rate (first in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 its opponents make while shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets average 117.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (first in the league), and allow 113.4 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).
The Nuggets have scored at a much higher rate when playing at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (120.6 at home versus 112.8 on the road), though they have given up fewer points in home games than away from home (110.1 opponent points per home game versus 115.3 on the road).
Bucks Stats & Insights
The Bucks outscore opponents by 4.6 points per game (posting 116.8 points per game, seventh in league, and giving up 112.2 per contest, seventh in NBA) and have a +341 scoring differential.
Milwaukee is first in the NBA at 49 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 more than the 44.5 its opponents average.
The Bucks make three more threes per game than the opposition, 14.9 (fourth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.9.
The Bucks rank ninth in the league averaging 114.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are third, allowing 108.2 points per 100 possessions.
At home Milwaukee is scoring 119.9 points per game, 6.3 more than it is averaging on the road (113.6).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
The Nuggets get 24.8 points, 11.9 rebounds and 9.9 assists from Jokic.
Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, making an average of three shots per game from beyond the arc.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Bruce Brown has 0.6 blocks per contest.
Bucks Key Players to Watch
Antetokounmpo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (31.1 points per game) and rebounding (11.8 rebounds per game) while adding 5.6 assists per contest.
Jrue Holiday’s per-game averages this season are 19 points, 7.3 assists and five rebounds.
Holiday hits 2.4 threes per game.
The Bucks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Holiday’s 1.2 steals and Brook Lopez’s 2.5 blocks per game.
- Pick ATS: Bucks (+ 3)
- Pick OU:
Under (236.5)
- Prediction:
Nuggets 115 – Bucks 114
