Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario.
Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 52-39 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Arizona is coming off of a series win against Pittsburgh, where they won two out of three games. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average this year. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 449 runs with a .258 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Corbin Carroll is batting .289 with 18 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 5-5 with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this season.
Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 50-41 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Toronto is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three games. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 410 runs with a .259 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Bo Bichette is batting .317 with 15 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 8-5 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 109.2 innings pitched this year.
Trends
Arizona is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf and 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games. The under is 5-0 in Arizona’s last 5 interleague games. Toronto is 6-1 in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning record and 5-1 in their last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in Toronto’s last 5 games against the NL West.
Pick
Arizona went into the All-Star break struggling and their lead in the NL West is down to 2.5 games. Toronto has a similar record to Arizona, but they are 7 games back in the very competitive AL East. Toronto is starting Chris Bassitt, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Arizona is starting Ryne Nelson, who has allowed 7, 1, 1, 3, and 5 earned runs in his last five starts. Nelson really struggled in his last start and I expect the Blue Jays lineup to get to him again here. I like the over in this game.
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