Diamondbacks vs. Phillies NLCS Game 6 odds and best bet: Back Philadelphia on the run line in close-out game
Monday could mark the Philadelphia Phillies' return to the World Series for a second consecutive season.
The pregame narrative: The Phillies have cruised through the postseason to this point, racking up several blowout wins along the way. Our best bet for NLCS Game 6 is Philadelphia on the run line as the team looks to finish off the underdog Diamondbacks.
Get our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Game 6 odds and best bet for the October 23 playoff game.
MLB oddsas of 12:50 p.m. ET on 10/22/23.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies odds and best bet
Best Bet: Phillies -1.5 (+125)
The Phillies are barrelling toward another appearance in the Fall Classic with an impressively dominant showing in the postseason.
Overall, Philadelphia is 8-3 and all eight of those wins have come by multiple runs — while all three losses have come by exactly one run.
One of those multi-run wins came in the exact pitching matchup we'll see on Monday, as Philly's Aaron Nola faces Arizona's Merrill Kelly. Nola tossed 6.0 scoreless innings in a 10-0 win over Kelly and the D'backs in Game 2.
MLB oddsas of 12:50 p.m. ET on 10/22/23.
Nola has had the pleasure of making all three of his postseason starts at home, and the dominance has been real. The right-hander only allowed two runs over those three outings, and his Phillies outscored their opponents, 27-3, in those games.
Also, Nola has been noticeably more effective against the Diamondbacks than Kelly has been against the Phillies:
- Nola vs. D'backs (80 plate appearances): .221 BA, .325 SLG, 27.5% K-rate
- Kelly vs. Phillies (88 plate appearances): .256 BA, .487 SLG, 22.7% K-rate
Arizona was able to pull off some late-game magic in two of its three home games during this series, but the team looked rather lost in the games played at Citizens Bank Park.
We expect Philly to wrap this one up in comfortable fashion in front of a raucous home crowd.
Key stat: The Phillies have a +36 run differential in the postseason, which equates to an average victory margin of 3.3 runs per game.
