Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers (51-38) will look for another strong showing from a slugger on a hot streak against the New York Mets (42-48) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. Freddie Freeman is riding a three-game homer streak.

An expected close contest features the Dodgers (-116 on the moneyline) against the Mets (-103). The game’s over/under is 8.5.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 14, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Dodgers vs Mets Betting Lines

Dodgers Betting Insights

• The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 45, or 59.2%, of those games.
• Los Angeles has a record of 43-29 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
• Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 51 of its 89 chances.
• In 89 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 47-42-0 ATS.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Mets Betting Insights

• The Mets have won in 10, or 32.3%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, New York has been victorious six times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 50.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of its 91 opportunities.
• The Mets are 37-54-0 against the spread in their 91 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Julio Urias

• When Urias starts, his team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, July 7, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• Urias has made nine starts of five or more innings in 12 chances this season, and averages 5.3 frames when he pitches.
• He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 12 chances this season.
• When Urias starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-5.
• Urías’ team has won seven of his 12 starts.
• Games started by Urias have a 7-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Mets Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander

• The Mets are sending Verlander (3-4) to the mound for his 13th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.60 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 70 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander threw six innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• Verlander is aiming for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 frames per start.
• He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 12 appearances this season.
• The Mets have a 1-2 record in Verlander’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Verlander’s team has a 5-7 record in his starts this season.
• Verlander has started 12 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Dodgers Hitting Trends

• The Dodgers have put up at least two home runs in 50 games this season, and are 37-13 in those outings.
• Los Angeles has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 32 games this season, and has gone 23-9 in those contests.
• The team has racked up eight or more hits in 57 games this season, and is 40-17 in those contests.
• Los Angeles has a 44-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Dodgers are 29-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Mets Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 30 games this season and are 15-15 in those matchups.
• In 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-4.
• In 52 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-19.
• In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 32-15.
• They have won 11 of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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