Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45) will look to Mookie Betts, currently on a 10-game hitting streak, versus the San Diego Padres (54-55) at 9:40 PM ET on Friday, at PETCO Park.

The favored Padres (-127 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Dodgers (+106). The over/under for the game is 8 total runs.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 5:15 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Padres vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 45 out of the 83 games, or 54.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• San Diego has a record of 39-27, a 59.1% win rate, when favored by -127 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of its 109 games with a total this season.
• In 109 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 54-55-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Dodgers Betting Insights

• The Dodgers have come away with nine wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 6-4 when favored by +106 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 62 of its 107 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Dodgers have posted a record of 56-51-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

• When Darvish starts, his team is 9-10-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
• Darvish has started 19 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 17 times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
• He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 19 chances this season.
• Darvish’s team is 7-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Darvish’s team has won nine of his 19 starts this season.
• In Darvish’s 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Bobby Miller

• The Dodgers are sending Miller (6-2) out to make his 12th start of the season. He is 6-2 with a 4.37 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 59 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty threw five innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• Miller is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 frames per start.
• In two of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
• The Dodgers were the underdog on the moneyline for two Miller starts this season — they split the games.
• Miller’s team has a 7-4 record in his starts this season.
• Miller has started 11 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Padres Hitting Trends

• The Padres have a 28-20 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
• San Diego is 21-8 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
• The club has notched eight or more hits in 61 games this season, and is 43-18 in those contests.
• San Diego is 45-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Padres are 27-19 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 56 games this season and are 41-15 in those matchups.
• In 36 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-9.
• In 68 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 48-20.
• In 70 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 54-16.
• They have won 35 of their 49 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-127)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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