Florida State vs Florida Odds, Preview & Picks (Nov. 25)

Last season, the Florida State Seminoles (11-0, 6-5 ATS) ended a three-game losing streak to their arch rivals the Florida Gators (5-6, 4-7 ATS) via a 45-38 home-field victory.

Their previous victory in 2017 was the conclusion of a five-game winning streak and oddsmakers are projecting that the Seminoles are embarking on another run of success against their hated cross-state foes.

It’s the #5 Seminoles who are set as 6.5-point road favorites in the Florida State vs Florida odds. This is the first time since the 2017 victory that Florida State is the away chalk at Florida.

Let’s take a deep dive into the Florida State vs Florida odds and offer you our prediction for this Week 13 battle of traditional rivals.

Florida State vs Florida Odds

In the Florida State vs Florida odds, the Tigers are -245 moneyline favorites, giving them an 71.01% implied win probability. The total is set at 49 points. This is the first game between these two schools with a total under 50 points since 2017.

DraftKings Review before betting on Seminoles vs Gators and other college football Week 13 action this week.

Florida State is 4-2 straight up in the last six games at Florida. The away team has covered in four of the past five Seminoles vs Gators matchups.

Kickoff for this game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, November 25 is set for 7:00 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ESPN.

Seminoles vs Gators Betting Trends

In the college football public betting splits, there is division among the people on the spread splits. The handle is leaning ever so slightly toward underdog Florida at 51%. However, bets are liking the Seminoles to the tune of 62%.

Florida is 4-8 against the spread over the past 12 games. The Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last three games. Straight up, Florida State is 4-0 on the road this season. Florida is 4-2 SU at home, but 0-2 in the last two games.

On the over/under of 49 points, both handle and bets are split right down the middle at 50%. Florida State is 7-4 on the total this season. The Gators are 8-3 on the total in 2023.

Florida State is the eighth betting choice in the national championship odds at +2800. The Seminoles are given a betting line of +140 to qualify for the playoffs

Backup QBs Coming To The Fore

Both the Seminoles and Gators will be starting backup quarterbacks in this big game. Florida QB Graham Mertz suffered a nondisplaced collarbone fracture in last week’s loss to Missouri. Seminoles QB Jordan Travis suffered a season-ending left leg injury in their win over North Alabama.

Tate Rodemaker came in to finish the North Alabama game and will get the starting nod against Florida. He’s appeared in eight games, completing 56 of 93 passes with seven touchdowns and five interceptions over four seasons.

Getting the start for the Gators will be redshirt freshman QB Max Brown. He’s more mobile than Mertz and that was causing problems for Missouri’s defense. Brown rushed for 42 yards.

Can Florida Stop Florida State receivers?

Rodemaker threw for 217 yards and two TDs in relief of Travis. This will be his second career start and first on the road in no less a place than the daunting Florida Swamp.

— Clay Fink (@clay_fink) November 21, 2023