Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Fight Preview & Prediction: UFC 283 Betting Odds

footballpink.net

19 January 2023

We have a ranked welterweight clash, as the former title challenger Gilbert Burns takes on the perennial top fifteen welterweight Neil Magny.

Looking for some action on it? Check out the best odds for Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny in UFC 283 below.

Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Betting Odds (UFC 283)

Gilbert Burns (-450)
Neil Magny (+350)

Burns returns to the octagon for the first time since fighting Khamzat Chimaev back in April of 2022. While Burns ultimately fell short in the fight, his stock elevated due to his performance. Ranked fifth in the welterweight division, Burns is still within striking distance of earning another title shot.

Meanwhile, Magny comes into this fight off an impressive submission victory over Daniel Rodriguez. The victory was his third in the last four fights.

Ranked twelfth in the division, Magny, who holds the all-time record for wins in UFC welterweight history, still seeks his first title shot. With a victory over Burns, Magny will inch one step closer to realizing that goal.

Gilbert Burns has been a favorite in ten of eighteen UFC fights, with an impressive 9 wins.

Neil Magny has been an underdog in thirteen of his twenty-eight UFC fights. Profitable as an underdog, Magny is 8-5.

UFC 283: Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Best Bet

Over 2 ½ rounds (-115) @ Bovada

Previous to joining the UFC in 2014, Gilbert Burns had never gone the distance. Facing tougher competition in the UFC, in eighteen appearances, Burns has seen the scorecards nine times. Even further, five of those nine decisions have come in the last seven fights.

Neil Magny is not only the all-time record holder for wins in UFC welterweight history but also decision wins at thirteen. Previous to his last two fights, Magny had gone the distance six straight times.

Statistically speaking, Magny has gone over 2 ½ rounds 64% of the time. Burns has hit the mark 56% of the time. With the odds being dead even, we like the numbers backing up the over 2 ½ rounds.

Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Prediction (UFC 283)

An important fight in the welterweight division, Gilbert Burns looks to retain his top-five ranking against the hungry veteran Neil Magny.

Ever since moving up to welterweight, Burns has established himself among the elite of the division. While his first crack at the title didn’t go his way – still in the top five – Burns’s path to redemption could be a few wins away.

A complete package, Burns is one of the most dangerous grapplers in all of mixed martial arts. Evolving into an exceptional striker, opponents have to worry just as much on the feet as on the ground with Burns these days.

As for Magny, he has become a staple in the welterweight division. With several records to his name, Magny will notch a share of one more when stepping into the hostile Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. With that being tied for the most fights in UFC welterweight history with Matt Brown at 29.

A cerebral fighter, Magny does a solid job at executing a game plan. Back by gazelle-like cardio and with excellent size for the division, Magny can be a handful to deal with. With eighteen wins in the UFC, there is no denying that Magny has the pedigree it takes to be a contender.

However, Magny has struggled against the upper echelon of the division. He is also 1-2 when fighting in Brazil and 7-5 when fighting outside the United States.

With a 57% takedown defense, we expect Magny to struggle to stay upright against Burns’ grappling. While a finish might not materialize, the native son of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, will garner enough top control time to triumph over Magny.

Our prediction: Burns via decision – place a bet at Bovada and enjoy the fight!

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