Golden Knights vs Stars Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight

Covers

22 November 2023

Golden Knights vs Stars Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight

The Stars and Golden Knights are both tough defensive sides with stout keepers behind them. Find out if our NHL picks think one can gain an edge, or if there's another best bet for value tonight.

Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Two first-place teams square off on Wednesday evening as the Dallas Stars host the Vegas Golden Knights as slim NHL odds favorites.

These two clubs just played each other last month, with Vegas securing the win in a shootout, 3-2.

Will Wednesday’s game feature another low-scoring affair, or can the goals pick up this time around? Find out in our free NHL picks for Golden Knights vs. Stars on Wednesday, November 22.

Golden Knights vs Stars odds

Golden Knights vs Stars predictions

There have been five or fewer total goals scored in four of Vegas’ past six games, which should not be all that shocking given the make-up of this team. The blue line is loaded while the forward group features an abundance of players who value playing both ways.

At 5-on-5, the Golden Knights rank in the top half of the league in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60). As for all strengths, Vegas ranks 14th in goals scored per game but fourth in goals allowed per game.

Backing up this defensively-sound group is goaltender Adin Hill, who continues to be marvelous between the pipes. Through 11 starts, Hill is 8-2-1 with a .929 SV% and 2.07 GAA.

Out of the 27 goaltenders to start at least 10 games this year, Hill ranks sixth in goals saved above expected per 60 minutes (GSAx/60) at 5-on-5. This success is likely to continue against Dallas, a team he’s dominated throughout his career.

Through 10 starts against the Stars, Hill boasts a .925 SV% and 2.40 GAA. There were five or fewer total goals scored in six of those 10 games.

Across the ice, goaltender Jake Oettinger should have no issue keeping up with Hill. Through 12 starts this season, Oettinger is 8-3-1 with a .920 SV% and 2.50 GAA.

His job is made much easier due to Dallas’ tremendous blue line. At 5-on-5, the Stars rank 10th in xGA/60.

Two excellent defenses, goaltenders, and penalty-killing units should all keep this game low-scoring. Both teams rank in the Top 10 of the league in PK%.

My best bet: Under 5.5 (+112 at FanDuel)

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.

Golden Knights vs Stars same-game parlay

Under 5.5

Stars moneyline

These are obviously two very strong teams, which should give us a competitive game. There’s not really a weakness on the ice for either side, as both teams rank in the top half of the league xGA/60 and expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) at 5-on-5.

Both goaltenders are also tremendous, but Oettinger’s track record against Vegas is especially dominant. Through five regular starts against the Knights, he’s 4-0-1 with a .956 SV% and 1.32 GAA.

It’s pretty much an even matchup, but with home ice give me Oettinger and the Stars to hand Vegas its third straight loss.

Best NHL bonuses

Get one no-sweat SGP every day
Bonus bets back if your wager doesn’t win! Claim Now

Get up to $1,500 bonus bets back
If your first bet doesn’t win! Claim Now

Golden Knights vs Stars moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Stars opened as a –126 favorite and have since been bet up to -134. This line movement is not all that surprising given their home ice advantage and the fact that the Knights have lost two straight games to teams that are not on Dallas’ level.

That brings us to the total, which opened at 5.5 and remains at that number. In a Hill/Oettinger battle and two very strong blue lines, I don't think we will see the total balloon to 6.5.

If you like the Under, I think it’s also playable at six at –109 via Unibet, although I would rather receive plus-money at 5.5.

Golden Knights vs Stars betting trend to know

There have been five or fewer total goals scored in seven of the past 10 meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Stars.