Heat vs. Celtics Game 7 picks, best bets: Why Boston will reach NBA Finals despite Miami's home-court edge

Miami and Boston are playing a Game 7. The basketball betting market is hot. CBS Sports will provide daily picks for the duration of the postseason. Sam Quinn will make at least one pick for every game between now and the NBA Finals.

Boston Celtics have won the series against Miami Heat. Boston has outscored Miami by 33 points in six games. Miami has outperformed expectations in two of the past three postseasons. Boston will reach NBA Finals despite Miami's home-court edge. Sam Quinn will make a daily pick for the duration of NBA postseason. He will pick at least one game between now and the NBA finals. All lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.

Miami won Game 6. Jimmy Butler played 46 minutes. Kyle Lowry played 37 minutes and scored 18 points. Tyler Herro is injured. Celtics are the team to beat. Celtics won the last two games. The Celtics and Heat are going to play a game in Game 7. Boston is the favorite. I'm taking the Celtics. They're a 3-1 favorite now. iReport.com: The pick: Celtics -3. Miami won in the previous game. It's a one-game sample. Heat players scored 64 points in that game, including 18 from Kyle Lowry. In the games immediately following the first four games, Lowry averaged 21.8 points per game and he scored 12 in this Game.

Miami won Game 6 of the series against Boston. Jimmy Butler played 46 minutes after three injury-riddled games. Kyle Lowry played 37 minutes and scored 18 points. Tyler Herro is injured. Boston has a lot of problems. It's possible that Miami can win the game. If so, it would be a big challenge for Boston to keep up. The Celtics have a tendency to turn the ball over. They have six of their top seven players going to get at least four fouls. Miami's injuries are more significant. Their players scored 64 points in Game6. Boston's players only scored 25 points during the first three games of this series.