Houston Rockets vs OCK Thunder Odds, Predictions & Player Props (Feb. 27)

Sports Betting Dime

27 February 2024

Houston Rockets vs OCK Thunder Odds, Predictions & Player Props (Feb. 27)

The Houston Rockets (25-32) will visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-17) on Tuesday, February 27th, at the Paycom Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM EST, and the game will be televised nationally on TNT.

The Thunder come into this matchup as 10.5-point favorites with the over/under set at 234.5 points, according to most sportsbooks. NBA player props are also available, including three-pointers made for young star Chet Holmgren.

Let’s get into our Rockets vs Thunder prediction, as we analyze the odds and determine the best player prop picks.

Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder Odds

In the Rockets vs Thunder odds, Oklahoma City is a -550 favorite on the moneyline and -10.5 on the spread. The Thunder’s implied win probability is 87%.

Odds as of February 27, 2024, at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars promo code to bet on Rockets vs Thunder on TNT.

Rockets Betting Trends

The Rockets come into this matchup having lost seven of their last nine games to fall four and a half games behind the Warriors for the final Western Conference play-in spot.

They are just 5-22 in away games this season, the second-worst road record in the league. In their recent loss to the Thunder, the Rockets shot just 41% as a team and allowed OKC to shoot over 47%. The Rockets have been inconsistent on offense since Fred VanVleet returned from injury a few games ago.

Houston’s once-formidable defense has also slipped recently, ranking just below league average in February with a defensive efficiency rating of 115. Houston’s transition defense, in particular, has struggled this month.

Alperen Şengün, the second-year center, leads the Rockets with 19.7 points, plus 8.2 rebounds and four assists per game. However, he was held to just 15 points in the last game vs. the Thunder.
Jalen Green, the young shooting guard, meanwhile, is scoring 21.3 points per contest in his sophomore campaign.

Thunder Betting Trends

The Thunder are currently riding a five-game winning streak, including an impressive 123-110 home victory over these same Rockets just two days ago on February 25th. In that game, rookie standout Chet Holmgren led the Thunder with 29 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists.

Holmgren has played exceptionally over his last ten games, averaging 18.9 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 3.1 blocks while shooting nearly 60% from the field. The Thunder’s offense as a whole has been elite this month, ranking third in offensive efficiency.

They have been excellent at home this season with a 23-6 record at Paycom Center. Oklahoma City features a top-five offense led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1 ppg) and a defense ranked 13th in efficiency.

The Thunder have been even better since rookie Holmgren returned from injury in January, further bolstering their rim protection. During their five-game winning streak, the Thunder are beating opponents by an average of 16.2 points per game.

Holmgren enters this game as the second betting choice in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds. While he’s facing an uphill battle to overtake phenom Victor Wembanyama as the favorite, the Minnesota native can bolster his chances by continuing his dominance of the Rockets.

Houston-Oklahoma City Player Props

When it comes to NBA player props for the Rockets vs Thunder showdown, we are looking to target Holmgren against a team we know he can dominate. Here’s a peek at some of the main player props available for the Rockets-Thunders game at Caesars Sportsbook.

Holmgren over 1.5 three-pointers made sticks out as strong value, especially considering major sportsbooks such as DraftKings have the over juiced at -160. The best line we can find in the NBA player props odds is currently -145 at BetMGM.

Holmgren has gone over this number in seven of the past 10 games and hit five threes in his last outing against Houston. The rookie sensation is shooting 50.9% from the three-point line over his past 10 games and has seen his 3-point shot attempts rise to 5.4 per game this month.

Rockets vs Thunder Prediction

The Thunder have been dominant at home this season, sporting a 23-6 straight-up record and 20-9 ATS mark in OKC. They have covered the spread in four straight home contests. Meanwhile, the Rockets have been atrocious on the road, going just 5-22 SU and 9-17-1 ATS away from Houston.

With OKC’s offense operating at an elite level at home, and the Rockets struggling on both ends of late – especially on the road, the Thunder should continue their winning ways in this contest. Rookie standout Holmgren seems to have the Rockets’ number, while Houston has no answer for SGA or Giddey.

Expect the red-hot Thunder to win and cover at home against their division rival. Our best bet for the Tuesday NBA odds is to back the Thunder to cover while also taking advantage of the value of Holmgren in the props market.