Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Western-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (32-14) are favored by 2 points as they look to hold off the No. 2 team in the conference, the Minnesota Timberwolves (32-14). The teams square off Monday, January 29, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET on BSO. The matchup’s point total is set at 226.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds

How to Bet on Thunder vs. Timberwolves

Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Timberwolves?

Thunder and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Thunder are 18-9 against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.

In games they have played as at least 2-point underdogs this season, the Timberwolves are 5-4 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 8.3 more points per game (234.3) than this matchup’s total of 226 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 220.6 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the point total for this matchup.

The average point total in Thunder games this season is 8.2 more points than the over/under of 226 in this matchup.

Minnesota’s games this year have averaged an over/under of 220.7 points, 5.3 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Oklahoma City has gone 30-15-1 ATS this season.

The Timberwolves have gone 22-22-2 ATS this year.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder’s +375 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 121.2 points per game (third in the NBA) while giving up 113.0 per contest (13th in the league).

The Thunder rank 26th in the NBA at 41.3 rebounds per game. That’s 3.8 fewer than the 45.1 their opponents average.

Oklahoma City connects on 12.9 three-pointers per game (14th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.5. It shoots 38.8% from deep while its opponents hit 35.8% from long range.

The Thunder score 121.5 points per 100 possessions (fifth in the league), while allowing 113.4 points per 100 possessions (fifth in the NBA).

The Thunder’s offense has been much better at home (123.9 PPG) compared to their play on the road (118.7 PPG). However, their defense has been worse in home games (113.4 PPG allowed) compared to their play on the road (112.8 PPG allowed).

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves’ +252 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.1 points per game (22nd in NBA) while allowing 107.6 per contest (first in league).

Minnesota wins the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. It pulls down 43.6 rebounds per game (13th in league) compared to its opponents’ 40.5.

The Timberwolves make 12.3 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) at a 39.0% rate (second-best in NBA), compared to the 11.6 their opponents make, shooting 35.3% from deep.

The Timberwolves rank 17th in the NBA with 116.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and first defensively with 110.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2023-24 Minnesota is averaging 0.7 fewer points per game at home (112.7) than on the road (113.4).

Thunder Key Players to Watch

The Thunder active leader in points and assists this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who puts up 31.1 points per game along with 6.4 assists.

Chet Holmgren scores 17.0 points per game and adds 7.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists for the Thunder.

Isaiah Joe leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.2 steals per game, while Holmgren has 2.5 blocks per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Anthony Edwards pours in 25.9 points per game. He also contributes 5.2 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game this season.

Rudy Gobert has per-game averages of 13.4 points, 1.2 assists and 12.4 rebounds this season.

Edwards averages 2.5 made threes per game.

Edwards’ 1.2 steals and Gobert’s 2.1 blocks per game are important to the Timberwolves’ defensive production.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Promo Codes