Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Portland Trail Blazers (32-41) will need a huge game out of top scorer Shaedon Sharpe (8.3 ppg) if they want to hang with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder (36-38). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder are double-digit favorites (-10.5) against the Trail Blazers on March 26, 2023. The matchup has a point total of 232.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Odds

  • Thunder odds to win: -514
  • Trail Blazers odds to win: +390
  • Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
  • Total: 232

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Moda Center in Portland, Oregon
  • TV: ROOT Sports NW and BSOK

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Trail Blazers?

Thunder and Trail Blazers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Trail Blazers are 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season.

The Thunder and the Trail Blazers combine to average 0.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 232 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 232.5 points per game, 0.5 more than the point total for this game.

The average over/under the Thunder have had in their matchups this season is 1.7 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average point total for Portland this year is 1.6 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Oklahoma City has a 45-28-1 record against the spread this season.

The Trail Blazers have a 33-39-1 record against the spread this season.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder are outscoring opponents by 1.1 points per game with a +79 scoring differential overall. They put up 117.4 points per game (fifth in the NBA) and allow 116.3 per contest (19th in the league).

The Thunder lose the rebound battle by 2.9 boards on average. They record 43.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the league, while their opponents pull down 46.7 per contest.

Oklahoma City hits 12.3 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) at a 36.0% rate (16th in the NBA), compared to the 12.9 its opponents make while shooting 35.9% from deep.

The Thunder rank 14th in the league by averaging 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 10th in the NBA, allowing 111.1 points per 100 possessions.

The Thunder have been significantly better offensively at home, where they average 121.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 113.6 per game. Defensively, they are better when playing at home, where they concede 115.4 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to score 117.2 per game.

Trail Blazers Stats & Insights

The Trail Blazers’ -148 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.0 points per game) is a result of putting up 114.2 points per game (15th in NBA) while giving up 116.2 per contest (18th in league).

The 40.9 rebounds per game Portland accumulates rank 26th in the league, 1.5 fewer than the 42.4 its opponents record.

The Trail Blazers make 13.0 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) at a 36.8% rate (10th in NBA), compared to the 12.2 their opponents make, shooting 37.5% from beyond the arc.

The Trail Blazers rank 11th in the NBA with 113.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 26th defensively with 115.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Portland is scoring more points at home (117.9 per game) than away (110.6).

Thunder Key Players to Watch

The Thunder get 16.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists from Josh Giddey.

This season, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game.

The Thunder get 2.2 three-pointers per game out of Isaiah Joe.

Gilgeous-Alexander racks up 1.7 steals and swats 1.0 shot per game.

Trail Blazers Key Players to Watch

Sharpe scores 8.3 points per game. He also contributes 2.6 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game this season.

This season, Drew Eubanks has a statline that includes 6.1 points, 1.2 assists and 5.1 rebounds per game.

Sharpe averages 1.1 made threes per game.

The Trail Blazers’ defensive effort gets a lift from Matisse Thybulle (1.1 steals per game) and Eubanks (1.1 blocks per game).

  • Pick ATS: Trail Blazers (+ 10.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (232)

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 117 – Trail Blazers 115