Impossible Timing: Bet The College Football Playoffs Odds
NEW ORLEANS – Nobody can ever really tell for sure what is going to happen when it comes to sports betting. In fact, the Georgia Bulldogs and Ohio State Buckeyes were the only two teams with favored odds to make the playoffs before the 2023 season started.
- Georgia Bulldogs -240
- Ohio State Buckeyes -105
While the Michigan Wolverines (+115) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (+150) were next on the list, oddsmakers listed the USC Trojans (+250), Clemson Tigers (+290), and LSU Tigers (+300) thereafter.
Beating two of those teams this season, the FSU Seminoles (+375) were left out of the College Football Playoffs despite a perfect record as ACC Champions.
As for the Texas Longhorns (+300) and Washington Huskies (+750), they were thrown randomly in a mix of the top 13.
When Is The Best Time To Bet A Team To Win The CFB Championship?
There is no exact science as to when to bet on the college football playoffs in favor of one team. For the 2023 season, each team held their best odds at different points in the season
Since the semifinal games were introduced to college football, there aren’t any trends to lock into either.
But outside of futures bets, you can also bet on college football games during the playoffs. With the lines set, Michigan holds a 1.5-point advantage over Alabama in the Sugar Bowl, while the Rose Bowl has Texas favored over Washington by four points.
Sugar Bowl Betting Odds
Rose Bowl Betting Odds
But, don’t look at the last four years to try to find any advantage.
- Favorites and underdogs are an even split 4-4 in the last four years of the CFP semifinals
- The over and under is also an even split at 4-4 since 2019.
- The #1 seed is 2-2 ATS in the semifinals and 2-2 on the O/U as well in that span.
One trend that stands out is that the #1 and #3 have met in the last four National Championship games.
So, Texas may be safe. Further, Texas at -4 marks the third time since 2019 that the three seed is favored over the two seed.
But, Alabama’s history and their status as a four-seed may cause concern for the Michigan Wolverines. Alabama’s line of +1.5 is the smallest disadvantage of any 4-seed (+5.5, +13, +19, +12.5) over the last four semifinal games.
Only time will tell who comes out on top, but one thing is for sure: don’t let anyone tell you what you want to bet is wrong. Able to cherrypick and trend that fits your narrative, there are many other trends that can oppose your mindset as well.
All odds presented come from Bovada.
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