Indiana vs. Michigan Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 7: Can Wolverines Hold Hoosiers Out of the End Zone?

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12 October 2023

Indiana vs. Michigan Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 7: Can Wolverines Hold Hoosiers Out of the End Zone?

The Michigan Wolverines welcome the Indiana Hoosiers for a Big Ten divisional showdown, and our Indiana vs. Michigan prediction based on the college football odds is calling for the dominant Wolverines' defense to have another strong showing Saturday.

The 6-0 Michigan Wolverines are dominating on both sides of the football, and they’re also in the heart of the CFP National Championship conversation as we approach the half-way point of the regular season.

So, with the Indiana Hoosiers’ offense struggling to find momentum all year, Michigan could have its most complete defensive performance in Week 7, thanks in part to some sloppy weather conditions in Ann Arbor on Saturday. The Wolverines shutting down the Hoosiers is one of our college football best bets this week.

To go along with the rest of our college football predictions for Week 7 and SEC best bets, here is our best Indiana-Michigan prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Indiana vs. Michigan prediction

Indiana team total points Under 6.5 (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

This matchup will almost certainly be a blowout. However, with the weather a potential factor, it’s difficult to predict exactly how thoroughly Michigan will demolish Indiana.

A 33-point spread could be rendered a difficult task if weather plays into the proceedings, but wind and rain could also simply embolden a talented Michigan rushing attack to further lean into its strengths. The Wolverines have cleared this margin of victory only twice all season, but those instances came in their two most recent conference games. With several conflicting factors at play, stay away from this spread.

Michigan putting forth a dominant effort could result in the full-game total going Over 45.5 even if Indiana fails to produce a touchdown, so you might be asking for trouble when betting the Under in this contest. But the team total for a Hoosiers team that averages 15.8 points per game (tied for 124th in the FBS) is a compelling option.

If we get an Indiana team total points line at 7.5 or higher, this would be a rather simple fade of a Hoosiers offense ranking 118th in adjusted efficiency. The line sitting below 7.0 makes it trickier, but the Wolverines boast the nation's top-ranked defensive efficiency, and they've allowed more than seven points only once all season, with that lone blemish coming on the road.

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Indiana vs. Michigan best odds

DraftKings and bet365 are the only best live betting sites currently offering an Indiana team total points prop. DraftKings has gone back and forth between 5.5 and 6.5 points throughout the week. Right now we’re seeing 5.5 with -105 odds on the Under.

The spot to place this wager at current odds is bet365, which is featuring the same friendly -105 price on Under 6.5 points. Indiana could conceivably score two field goals or even a touchdown with a missed extra-point attempt in rough weather conditions and still remain Under the total.

Indiana vs. Michigan odds

Michigan opened as a 34.5-point favorite, and that massive number has dropped slightly to between -33 and -33.5 across our best sports betting sites. Only 46% of the action has come in on the Wolverines.

The total opened at 49.5 and has dipped to 45.5 throughout our best sportsbooks, with wet and windy conditions expected.