Jake Paul vs Andre August Odds: Predictions & Betting Tips

Gambling
 
Jake Paul vs Andre August Odds: Predictions & Betting Tips

Jake Paul, 7-1 (4KO), will box in his eighth professional fight on Friday. He faces the muscular Texan, Andre August, 10-1-1 (5KO), over eight rounds at the Caribe Royale in Orlando and have odds for the bout at the ready.

The sport’s newest disruptor has boxed in Pay-Per-View events since his debut in 2020 and tackled an assortment of YouTube personalities, retired MMA fighters and the half brother of Tyson Fury, Tommy Fury. 

Each bout a money making extravaganza, little of Paul’s career has conformed to the accepted wisdom on how to build a fighter.

But now, three years on from his ‘debut’, the 26-year-old faces an active fighter with minimal profile, who has been a professional for a decade and is exactly the type of opponent a prospect faces in their eighth contest.

Speaking to BigFightWeekend.com, the self-styled ‘Problem Child’ Jake Paul confirmed this to be a deliberate strategy to help build his experience as a boxer and to develop toward higher stakes match ups. 

“This is my road to World Champion, I’ve said it since day one. Now it's about putting that into action, it not being about the business side, the entertainment side. This is about me getting better, building my experience.”

carry markets for the fight and despite August’s deeper experience, Paul remains a strong favourite to win. 

Coral offer 1/5 on the outright win for Jake Paul despite his modest resume, with Spreadex tempting punters with 7/1 odds for August to cause an upset win.

Can August Pose A Threat?

Andre August is 35 years old, but his fight with Paul will be just his second fight in the past four years

In the build up, much has been made of the fact August is a full time boxer and the credibility that affords him and therefore Jake Paul’s selection of him for this contest. 

It is true that August boasts a 10-year career, but he has accumulated just 12 bouts in that decade and revealed in a conversation with MMAJunkie that he, like Paul, came to boxing late; “I played football and started boxing late at 21. Once I came out of college I was street fighting and stuff, so I just wanted to get out of the streets. So I started boxing. Best thing I ever did. It gave me the discipline to do what I need to do for my family.”

Stylistically, August is entirely different to Tommy Fury - the only other professional boxer Paul has faced thus far. 

He is the shorter man, muscular in frame and comes forward aggressively. In his most recent bout he boxed a taller opponent in Brandon Martin, at a career high weight, outworking him over six rounds to score a unanimous decision. It was his best win to date.

He is clumsy at times, throwing left hooks when out of range and his footwork is slow too. With limited head movement, and having boxed predominately as a Light-Heavyweight, he will be an easy target to find for good quality operators. 

With regard power, he tagged Martin frequently but never looked likely to force the stoppage. His feet often don’t follow in behind the punches and so his power is limited despite his impressive physique. The technique isn’t optimal.

The last time August boxed a Cruiserweight - before his recent return - he was knocked out in the second round by Eric Abraham, another circuit professional with a losing record. So there is evidence to support the notion Paul, as the bigger man, can force a stoppage.

The 26-year-old may be a novice fighter but he is also a shrewd raconteur. Records suggest competition and respectability here, but Andre August is an astute selection. For those who agree, Paul can be backed at 7/4 to win by knockout with Unibet.

Best Bets For The Fight

The over/under is set at 5.5 rounds and the over looks tempting to back at 4/11 with BetVictor, particularly if coupled with the knockout win. 

There is a risk of August being overwhelmed by the occasion too, he is being plucked from obscurity to feature on a much bigger platform after all, but he appears fit and solid. 

Admittedly, August did project the sense of ‘thrilled to get the call’ in his media interviews and will doubtless be earning a career-high purse. 

Predicting just how a fighter will cope with the pressure and scrutiny at work here is a troublesome intangible for bettors.

As limited as Paul is in terms of technique and ability, he is strong, disciplined and determined. Despite his critics he is focused on improvement too. 

He will hope to demonstrate progress to the viewing public and continue the quest to be taken more seriously by a sport he loves and dedicates his life to.

I expect a longer fight and Paul’s natural size to assist him, consider too that August has never boxed beyond six rounds.