John Deere Classic 2023 prop bets, odds, field, sleepers: Top PGA expert shares head-to-head matchup picks

Denny McCarthy looks to notch his first career PGA Tour victory when the 2023 John Deere Classic opens play on Thursday at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. McCarthy is the 14-1 betting favorite in a wide open 2023 John Deere Classic field. Other top contenders in the latest John Deere Classic odds from Caesars Sportsbook include Russell Henley (16-1), Cameron Young (16-1), Ludvig Aberg (22-1), and Adam Hadwin (22-1).

Which 2023 John Deere Classic head-to-head matchup picks should you target, and what 2023 John Deere Classic prop bets could set you up for a strong payday? Before locking in any John Deere Classic 2023 picks of your own, .

We simulated the 2023 John Deere Classic 10,000 times, and there are some major surprises. 

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $10,200 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Top 2023 John Deere Classic prop picks

One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the John Deere Classic 2023 is Emiliano Grillo finishing in the top 20 of the final leaderboard at +185 odds (risk $100 to win $185). Grillo is coming off a 15th place finish against an elite field at the Travelers Championship, and notched a win at the Charles Schwab Challenge in May. The 30-year-old Argentinian owns two career PGA Tour wins, and is easily one of the most accomplished golfers in the John Deere Classic field.

Grillo enters the week at No. 42 in the Official World Golf Ranking, but still ranks well in multiple statistical categories. He ranks 35th on the PGA Tour in total driving, 41st in strokes gained on approach (0.363), and 49th in strokes gained tee-to-green (0.449). In a wide open John Deere Classic field, McClure still sees plenty of value in taking Grillo to finish in the top-20 on the final leaderboard for a plus-money payout. You can see the rest of McClure's 2023 John Deere Classic prop bet picks at SportsLine.

Find more 2023 John Deere Classic head-to-head picks, sleepers, props

McClure has also locked in plenty of other prop bets for the the John Deere Classic 2023, including a longshot listed at 35-1 to win it all. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 John Deere Classic sleepers could hit it big. You can only see his 2023 John Deere Classic best bets at SportsLine.

So what 2023 John Deere Classic prop picks should you target this week, and which massive longshot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 John Deere Classic best bets, all from the expert who's up over $10,200 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out.

2023 John Deere Classic odds, field, top contenders

Denny McCarthy +1400Russell Henley +1600Cameron Young +1600Ludvig Aberg +2200Adam Hadwin +2200Adam Schenk +2800Taylor Moore +3000Keith Mitchell +3000Eric Cole +3000Emiliano Grillo +3000Seamus Power +3500J.T. Poston +3500Chris Kirk +3500Taylor Montgomery +4000Stephan Jaeger +4000Patrick Rodgers +4000Nick Taylor +4000Byeong Hun An +4000Alex Smalley +4000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4500Matt Kuchar +5000Sepp Straka +6000K.H. Lee +5500Beau Hossler +5500Ryan Palmer +6000Mark Hubbard +6000Dylan Wu +6000Doug Ghim +6000Adam Svensson +6000Peter Kuest +6500Michael Kim +6500Joseph Bramlett +6500Chez Reavie +6500Brendon Todd +6500Lucas Glover +7000Gordon Sargent +7000Sam Stevens +7500Callum Tarren +7500Zach Johnson +8000Will Gordon +8000Patton Kizzire +8000Luke List +8000Carson Young +8000Ben Martin +8000Sam Ryder +9000S.H. Kim +9000Nick Hardy +9000Kevin Yu +9000Garrick Higgo +9000Akshay Bhatia +9000Nate Lashley +10000MJ Daffue +10000Kevin Streelman +10000Greyson Sigg +10000Chesson Hadley +10000Michael Thorbjornsen +11000Matt NeSmith +11000Justin Lower +11000David Lipsky +11000Cameron Champ +11000Joel Dahmen +13000Davis Thompson +13000