2023 Farmers Insurance Open props, best bets, odds: Sleepers, head-to-head golf matchup picks from PGA expert

The PGA Tour stays on the west coast this week for the Farmers Insurance Open 2023, which is set to tee off on Wednesday, Jan. 25 at Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego. 2021 U.S. Open champion Jon Rahm, who is after his third straight victory, headlines the Farmers Insurance Open field. Rahm is list as the 4-1 favorite in the Farmers Insurance Open odds, and is followed by Xander Schauffele (12-1), and Collin Morikawa (12-1). Other top contenders in the Farmers field include Tony Finau (12-1), Justin Thomas (13-1), Will Zalatoris (14-1), and Sungjae Im (20-1).

Which players should you target when building your Farmers Insurance Open prop bet betting strategy? And which sleepers should you target for a potentially huge payday? Before locking in any Farmers Insurance Open 2023 picks of your own, .

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. The model also included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Top 2023 Farmers Insurance Open prop picks

One of McClure's favorite prop bets this week for the Farmers Insurance Open 2023 is world No. 9 Justin Thomas finishing in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at -120 odds (risk $120 to win $100). Thomas, a two-time major champion, has long been one of the most talented overall players on the PGA Tour, and he has a proven track record that shows he is a threat to win any tournament he enters.

Despite his recent form, Thomas is still arguably the top irons player in the world today, and he is elite around the greens. The 29-year-old ranks seventh on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green (0.852) and eighth in greens in regulation (76.39%) and birdie average (5.0). If he gets his putter working this week at Torrey Pines, Thomas will be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20 this week. You can see the rest of McClure's Farmers Insurance Open prop bet picks at SportsLine.

Find more 2023 Farmers Insurance Open picks, sleepers

McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Farmers Insurance Open 2023, including a long shot listed at 28-1 to win it all. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Farmers Insurance Open sleepers could hit it big. You can only see his Farmers Insurance Open best bets at SportsLine.

So what 2023 Farmers Insurance Open prop picks should you target this week? And which massive long shot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Farmers Insurance Open best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out.

2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds, field, top contenders

Jon Rahm +400Xander Schauffele +1200Collin Morikawa +1200Tony Finau +1200Justin Thomas +1300Will Zalatoris +1400Sungjae Im +2000Max Homa +2200Taylor Montgomery +2600Jason Day +2700Hideki Matsuyama +3100Si Woo Kim +3300Sahith Theegala +4200Maverick Mcnealy +4200Cameron Davis +4500J.J. Spaun +5000Justin Rose +5000Keegan Bradley +5000Harris English +6000Scott Stallings +6500Hayden Buckley +7000Luke List +7500Alex Smalley +7500Taylor Pendrith +8500Wyndham Clark +9500Adam Hadwin +9500Davis Thompson +9500Kurt Kitayama +9500Ryan Palmer +10000Gary Woodland +10000Rickie Fowler +10000Adam Svensson +10000Thomas Detry +10000Davis Riley +11000Patrick Rodgers +11000Will Gordon +11000Emiliano Grillo +11000Robby Shelton +11000Cameron Champ +12000Dean Burmester +12000Trey Mullinax +12000Carson Young +12000Nick Hardy +14000S.H. Kim +14000Aaron Rai +15000Ben Taylor +15000Charley Hoffman +15000Byeong Hun An +15000Ben Griffin +15000Garrick Higgo +15000Sebastian Munoz +15000Kevin Yu +15000Matthew NeSmith +15000Lanto Griffin +16000Stephan Jaeger +16000Sam Ryder +16000Beau Hossler +16000Brendan Steele +17000Matthias Schmid +19000Justin Suh +19000Callum Tarren +19000Lee Hodges +20000