2023 John Deere Classic odds, picks, field: Surprising PGA predictions, bets from model that nailed 9 majors

J.T. Poston became the first golfer in 30 years to win the John Deere Classic in wire-to-wire fashion when he did so last year, posting his second PGA Tour victory. He shot a 2-under 69 in the final round, winning by three strokes over Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Emiliano Grillo. Poston is a 35-1 longshot in the 2023 John Deere Classic odds, while Denny McCarthy is the 14-1 favorite. It has been an up-and-down season for Poston, who has three top-10 finishes and 10 missed cuts. 

Some of the other 2023 John Deere Classic contenders include Russell Henley (16-1), Cameron Young (16-1) and Ludvig Aberg (22-1). Which golfers should you include in your John Deere Classic 2023 bets? Before locking in your 2023 John Deere Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $10,200 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2023 John Deere Classic field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 John Deere Classic predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the John Deere Classic 2023: Cameron Young, the highest-ranked golfer in the field, struggles this week and barely cracks the top 10. The 2022 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year has only missed two cuts this season, but his consistency has not led to desirable results. In fact, he has not posted a single top-30 finish since the Masters in April. 

Young is barely inside the top 50 in the FedEx Cup standings after finishing outside the top 50 at the Travelers Championship. He ranks No. 81 in strokes gained: total and No. 177 in strokes gained: putting, which makes it difficult to justify his odds this week. The model thinks several golfers offer much better value on the PGA odds board at TPC Deere Run. 

Another surprise: Adam Schenk, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Schenk has been inconsistent over the past few months, missing five cuts since the beginning of May. 

However, he made the playoff at the Charles Schwab Challenge before finishing tied for seventh at the Memorial Tournament. Schenk added another seventh-place finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic last weekend, giving him momentum heading into the John Deere Classic. The 31-year-old is facing a much weaker field than normal, so he will have this circled as a winnable event on his calendar. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2023 John Deere Classic picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to win it all. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's John Deere Classic picks here.

So, who will win the John Deere Classic 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 John Deere Classic odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 John Deere Classic leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed nine golf majors, including this year's Masters.

2023 John Deere Classic odds, field

Denny McCarthy +1400Russell Henley +1600Cameron Young +1600Ludvig Aberg +2200Adam Hadwin +2200Adam Schenk +2800Taylor Moore +3000Keith Mitchell +3000Eric Cole +3000Emiliano Grillo +3000Seamus Power +3500J.T. Poston +3500Chris Kirk +3500Taylor Montgomery +4000Stephan Jaeger +4000Patrick Rodgers +4000Nick Taylor +4000Byeong Hun An +4000Alex Smalley +4000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4500Matt Kuchar +5000Sepp Straka +6000K.H. Lee +5500Beau Hossler +5500Ryan Palmer +6000Mark Hubbard +6000Dylan Wu +6000Doug Ghim +6000Adam Svensson +6000Peter Kuest +6500Michael Kim +6500Joseph Bramlett +6500Chez Reavie +6500Brendon Todd +6500Lucas Glover +7000Gordon Sargent +7000Sam Stevens +7500Callum Tarren +7500Zach Johnson +8000Will Gordon +8000Patton Kizzire +8000Luke List +8000Carson Young +8000Ben Martin +8000Sam Ryder +9000S.H. Kim +9000Nick Hardy +9000Kevin Yu +9000Garrick Higgo +9000Akshay Bhatia +9000Nate Lashley +10000MJ Daffue +10000Kevin Streelman +10000Greyson Sigg +10000Chesson Hadley +10000Michael Thorbjornsen +11000Matt NeSmith +11000Justin Lower +11000David Lipsky +11000Cameron Champ +11000Joel Dahmen +13000Davis Thompson +13000