Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8-4-23 MLB Picks

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04 August 2023

Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8-4-23 MLB Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Minnesota Twins clash Friday in game 1 of an MLB series at Target Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks are now 5-14 since the all star break and have lost 3 straight overall. The Diamondbacks have scored a combined 9 runs in their last 5 games. The Diamondbacks pitching staff is 24th in ERA (4.60), 20th in WHIP (1.34) and 11th in quality starts (41). The Diamondbacks' offense is 10th in runs per game (4.78), 10th in batting average (.255) and 18th in homers (123). Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 115 hits and 57 RBI, while Corbin Carroll and Christian Walker have combined for 208 hits and 127 RBI. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 9-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. This will be Kelly’s second career game against the Twins.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last six night games against AL Central opponents.
The Diamondbacks have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Target Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last nine night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Corbin Carroll has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Diamondbacks' last four games against AL Central opponents.
Christian Walker has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last four games against AL Central opponents.
Ketel Marte has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
Merrill Kelly has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
Christian Walker has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks' last two games against AL Central opponents.
Corbin Carroll ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (34) this season.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins need a win after losing 6 of their last 8 games. The Twins still have a 2.5 game lead in the AL Central. The Twins pitching staff is 9th in ERA (3.89), 1st in WHIP (1.18) and 1st in quality starts (55). The Twins offense is 19th in runs per game (4.37), 24th in batting average (.236) and 8th in homers (144). Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 85 hits and 45 RBI, while Donovan Solano and Byron Buxton have combined for 133 hits and 67 RBI. Bailey Ober gets the ball, and he is 6-5 with a 3.19 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. This will be Ober’s first career game against the Diamondbacks.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

The Twins have lost five of their last six games as favourites after playing the previous day.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favourites following a road win.
The Twins have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games against the Diamondbacks at Target Field.
The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as favourites.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last five games as favourites against National League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Joey Gallo has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Diamondbacks.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins' last four home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Carlos Correa has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Minnesota Twins ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1056).
The Minnesota Twins ranks 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1128).
The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 2nd in the league for triples this season (26).
The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 3rd in the league for steals this season (108).

Randy’s Pick

The Diamondbacks remain fade material as they forgot how to score runs, and they're 5-14 since the break. No, thanks. The Twins have their issues as well, but it doesn't equal what the Diamondbacks are going through, and at least they're at home here. Bailey Ober has also been great this season with his 3.19 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. At home, Ober has a 2.98 ERA and .227 allowed batting average. Overall, I want nothing to do with the Diamondbacks, given their play in the second half of the season. Give me the Twins and the cheap price.