Khizriev vs Muradov Betting Analysis and Prediction
February 3rd on the UFC fight schedule will start a string of events every weekend for the next couple of months. An underrated matchup on this weekend’s card is this middleweight bout between Aliaskhab Khizriev and Makhmud Muradov. Will the undefeated prospect be able to knock off the experienced Muradov?
Khizriev vs. Muradov Picks
- Pick: Muradov +126
Read more for the official Khizriev vs Muradov prediction ahead of wagering on any of the upcoming UFC fights this weekend.
Khizriev vs. Muradov Information
Aliaskhab Khizriev vs Makhmud Muradov
Location of the fight: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date & Time: February 03, 2024. 7 PM ET main card start
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Khizriev is coming off a second-round submission win over Denis Tiuliulin in his UFC debut back in 2022.
Muradov is coming off a decision victory over Bryan Barberena in July 2023 in London.
Khizriev vs. Muradov Betting Analysis
Aliaskhab Khizriev
Khizriev is a Russian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 12-0, including 5 TKO/KO finishes and 4 submissions under his belt. He’s a 33-year-old middleweight, who is a former Fight Night Global interim welterweight champion and is looking to get his UFC career back on track after competing only one time since earning a contract in September 2020.
Khizriev is a 5’9” southpaw with a 74” reach. In his two UFC bouts, including the Dana White Contender Series fight, he averages 6.03 significant strikes landed and 4.36 significant strikes absorbed per minute–landing at a 64% rate and defending strikes at a 62% rate. He also has an average of 5.77 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 100% takedown defense.
Makhmud Muradov
Muradov is a Tajik-born Uzbek mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 26-8 with 17 TKO/KO wins and 3 submissions. Before entering the UFC as an MMA fighter, Muradov won countless titles as a kickboxer and titles at multiple MMA organizations. Now, he has earned two post-fight bonuses with the UFC.
Muradov is a 6’2” orthodox kickboxer with a 75” reach at 33 years old. In the octagon, he averages 4.21 significant strikes landed and 2.56 absorbed per minute. He has a very impressive 61% striking defense as well. He is also a very good grappler at this point of his career, averaging 3.04 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 77% takedown defense in the UFC.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.
Khizriev vs. Muradov Betting Preview
To make the most accurate Khizriev vs. Muradov prediction possible, you need to understand the styles of both fighters, along with what the UFC odds are saying for this matchup.
According to the betting lines at BetUS, the oddsmakers are making the unknown Khizriev the -146 betting favorite over the +126 Uzbek. You can get the favorite to win inside the distance at +125 and Muradov to do the same at +355.
These betting lines are surprising, to be honest. Khriziev is at the end of his athletic prime, doesn’t ever look to be in great shape, and hasn’t been very active since 2017. These Dagestani wrestlers tend to have a reputation with oddsmakers to be dominant against unranked fighters.
Muradov has probably over 5x the experience in combat sports than Khriziev and is a world champion kickboxer with very high-level wrestling skills. He’s also the same age as Khriziev.
Khriziev is a very good wrestler, getting in on single legs and then chaining the takedown together–much like you’d see Khabib Nurmagomedov do in his heyday. He is a patient grappler who controls the fight in the top position and punishes his opponents if they try to create space and get back up.
Muradov is a good mover and has a massive amount of intelligence in the cage with striking distance and technique. He will be patient and not engage in positions where he doesn’t have an advantage.
Khriziev vs. Muradov Betting Prediction
Placing UFC bets is the toughest thing to do in all sports betting because of the unpredictability of MMA at the highest level. This fight is arguably the most interesting to bet on this weekend.
The official Khriziev vs. Muradov prediction is that Muradov gets his hand raised. On paper, Khriziev is the favorite and should win, but this is a great chance to make an underdog pick.
Muradov is going to be in better shape, he’s bigger and faster than Khriziev, and he’s very good at wrestling as well.
- Pick: Muradov +126
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