Nasrat Haqparast vs Jamie Mullarkey Betting Prediction

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04 December 2023

Nasrat Haqparast vs Jamie Mullarkey Betting Prediction

The second to last event on the 2023 UFC fight schedule is set to take place this weekend in Las Vegas at the UFC APEX. Arguably the best matchup on the entire main card is this lightweight bout between Nasrat Haqparast and Jamie Mullarkey.

Haqparast vs. Mullarkey Picks

Pick: Jamie Mullarkey ML (+185)

Continue reading for a closer look at this banger of a fight and for the official Haqparast vs. Mullarkey prediction ahead of placing any bets on this weekend’s upcoming UFC fights.

Nasrat Haqparast vs Jamie Mullarkey Information

Nasrat Haqparast vs Jamie Mullarkey

Location of the fight: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Date & Time: December 09, 2023. 10 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Haqparast is fresh off a decision victory over Landon Quinones in September at UFC 293.

Mullarkey is also coming off a decision win in September at UFC 293.

Haqparast vs. Mullarkey Betting Analysis

Nasrat Haqparast

Haqparast is a German-Afghan mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 15-5 with 9 TKO/KO wins under his belt. He started martial arts at 14 to stay in shape and discovered a kickboxing/MMA gym in Germany.

Currently, Haqparast resides on the cusp of the stacked lightweight division’s top 15, having garnered two UFC performance bonuses. In the octagon, he’s a 5’10” southpaw with a 72” reach. He also averages 5.73 significant strikes landed and 5.26 absorbed per minute in the cage. To go along with his high-output striking, Haqparast has a solid 78% takedown defense.

Jamie Mullarkey

Australian MMA fighter Mullarkey boasts a pro record of 17-6, clinching 10 TKO/KO wins and securing 3 submissions. Before making it into the UFC, Mullarkey was a 12-2 fighter with championship belts from BRACE MMA, Superfight MMA, and Urban Fight Night promotions.

Nowadays in the octagon, Mullarkey averages about 4.4 significant strikes landed AND absorbed per minute, along with 2.46 takedowns per 15 minutes. His big 6’0” frame with a 74” reach at lightweight makes him a tough matchup for anyone physically–especially in the wrestling exchanges of MMA.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.

Nasrat Haqparast vs Jamie Mullarkey Betting Preview

Making UFC bets calls for a process of previewing betting lines, studying the tape and betting trends, before ultimately making a pick like the upcoming Haqparast vs. Mullarkey prediction.

According to UFC odds, Haqparast is coming in as the early -220 betting favorite over the +185 Australian. Early in the week, no other lines are available. Keep a close watch on sportsbooks for new prop bets and alternate lines.

After watching a lot of tape from both Haqparast and Mullarkey, this seems to be a closer fight than what the UFC odds suggest.

Haqparast is a very technical striker who likes to keep pressure on his opponents and ultimately walk them down against the cage where he can sit down on some power punches and let his hands go. He effectively maintains a high guard and actively employs his lead hand to position himself within the desired range during fights.

Mullarkey is a better grappler than he is a striker. His effectiveness in striking stems from his unconventional style and adept use of varied techniques, yet Haqparast will dominate in kickboxing. He will be looking to set up his takedowns against the fence with his striking, and he always looks to catch kicks out in the middle of the octagon to try to look for trips out in the open.

Nasrat Haqparast vs Jamie Mullarkey Betting Prediction

Making UFC picks every weekend is very difficult to be successful at consistently. Continuing to win involves consistent learning of the sport, tracking fighters’ careers and performance, and simply watching fights for improvement.

The official Haqparast vs. Mullarkey prediction is that Mullarkey will get his hand raised on Saturday night. This is a big upset win to pick, but the odds are too good to pass up on a true professional like Mullarkey who will for sure show up ready to go this weekend. His wrestling skills and unconventional striking will likely determine the outcome, enabling him to inflict more damage and maintain control.